Betting the Big Uglies
Let's hold our noses and talk about the Big Uglies. Those college basketball teams that are so bad, you don't even want to examine the game, let along think about wagering on them. However, this time of year there can be some outstanding line value in ugly dogs. You just need to learn how to hold your breath and get up the courage. Think of it this way: It's not so much a play ON the bad team, as it is AGAINST the overvalued favorite. And that's the key. In fact, let's look at it backwards, going from a good team to the bad ones. Take a look at a team like Louisville. The Cardinals, a public team, are not a bad squad, winning 16 games. Yet, they have been a favorite 15 times this season and are 4-11 against the number. They are overvalued, with oddsmakers putting up numbers that are more reflective of PAST Rick Pitino teams than this current one, which is young and often struggles to put the biscuit in the basket. At 0-6 SU, 1-5 ATS as a dog, they haven't been able to cover all season regardless of being chalk or a dog. Look early in the season when Louisville was a double-digit favorite over Richmond, Detroit, Arkansas State, Charleston and Middle Tennessee State. They failed to cover in all five. Throw in the nagging injuries that have affected the Cardinals depth, and Louisville has been a go-against all season. You can even take this a step further and see WHY they haven't been covering: A lack of offense. Louisville outscores teams by a 69-61 average when a favorite, going 12-2 under the total in those games. They simply don't have the firepower on offense, even against small schools. And when you're a double-digit favorite often, you better be able to score! Therefore, backing the ugly dog is the wiser move. Other times, a situation can dictate a play on an ugly dog. I found one on Saturday, releasing TCU as a +15½ dog against San Diego State. Now, TCU is as ugly a dog as you can find, at 5-21 overall and 0-10 on the road! Yet, as much as I don't like the team, I didn't like even more the situation their opponent was in. San Diego State had just pulled an outright upset Thursday at UNLV, and were sitting pretty with a two-game lead in the Mountain West. How interested would they be to blow out TCU, a club they had already beaten by 19 points? On deck, the Aztecs have road affairs at BYU and New Mexico. TCU has been an excellent road dog cashing 26 of 41 games. This was an excellent spot to hold your nose and back TCU while SDSU likely went through the motions to just get a win, especially after their all-out effort two nights earlier at UNLV. There will be more situations like this over the next week as conference races wind down. Teams will be jockeying for seeding and conference regular season crowns, and you can find plenty of look ahead spots. And don't be scared of supporting those big uglies. Cashing ugly money is exactly the same color green as pretty chalk!
Other Basketball Betting Articles
Massachusetts Casinos You can always tell when people are truly from the state of Massachusetts, as they speak with an unforgettable accent. Boasting Boston as the state capital, Massachusetts is small in size, but large in population, entertainment and just about anything else. There are 6,349,097 people living in Massachusetts, which means there must be a lot to ke ...How to Make Money Playing Poker You’re sitting on an Ace, 10 of hearts, the flop comes up Ace, 5, 8 of Spades, and your opponent check raises you, is he a smart bluffer or does he really have the flush? Texas Hold’em has swept the nation, it’s everywhere. People simply can’t get over the rush of winning, but few know how to make money playing poker.If you’ve played th ...How To Fund Your Online Casino Account If you are new to online casino gambling you may find this article useful as it explains the options available to you to fund your account.NETeller is the fastest way to be paid and to pay someone online. It is safe, secure and user-friendly. If you use more than one casino then Neteller is the way to transfer your money quickly and secur ...Basketball Sportsbook The days of placing bets on sporting events in a dingy back room or an alley are thankfully gone. So are the days of placing bets in the dark with no information about how the betting odds or lines were arrived at. Now if you want to bet on a sport like basketball you can do so with a good basketball sportsbook. A top basketball sportsbook will ...Poker : Caribbean Stud Poker Caribbean Stud Poker was first introduced to casinos in 1988 from the Carribean Island of Aruba. Today, almost every casino carries Caribean Stud Poker for it's players.In my opinion, its so popular because it is the first casino game to have a jackpot that can be won with just one dollar, rather simular to playing the lotto where a playe ...Background Research for an Online Casino If you want to gamble online, you've probably noticed there are thousands of online casinos! So how do you know which one to pick? Well, it helps to be your own detective. Here are some things you should look for before you register with an online casino:CUSTOMER SUPPORT: Be wary of any site that only offers an email address or web form f ...College Football Parlay Cards Ah, college football. It’s one of the most anticipated sports season among sports bettors. If you are like most sports bettors, the words college football parlay makes you salivate. Step into any Las Vegas sportsbook on Saturday during the college football season and you will see lines of people frantically filling out hopefully soon-to-be winni ...Online Poker Tournaments - What to Expect Online poker has recently been gathering a lot of interest lately. When you come and visit the online world you will be able to notice that there are more and more sites offering online poker tournaments that anyone can join into anytime. If you want to get better at playing this card game, practicing online may give you just the edge in honing ...Basketball Games Preview 12/26/05: Pacers 5-0 without Ron Artest Monday (12/26) Best: Pacers @ Mavericks: Even without Ron Artest, Indiana should have enough defense to make this game interesting. Both teams are one-man led at the moment, contrary to their previous rosters, where Reggie Miller and Steve Nash were more than supporting players. Indiana has a 5-game winning streak since they ...Let it Ride Poker - Betting To Win Let it ride poker is fun and the ability to let your bet ride means that you have the thrill of making some big money to and this article is all about betting to winThe tips below can help you win the big pots you desire.We will now consider what to do (bet) after you receive the first three cards, and follow up what to do when you ...MLB Week in Review Six weeks to go until the MLB postseason kicks off and the races couldn't be more exciting. This week's MLB review takes a look at the contenders in each division as well as the wild card leaders and labels each team's chances of winning the World Series based on personal odds. Frankly, this is the most I have enjoyed baseball this late into the ...Applying Poker Strategies to Trading The Markets As a professional no-limit holdem poker player prior to my trading career, I find that both professions share many similarities. Poker and trading are both a game of probabilities. Individual psychological makeup is also important to control emotions during times of tilt and euphoria.In poker, a player can choose the stake he is willing t ...Popular Types of Poker Chips For the last 75 years, clay chips have not actually been constructed out of pure clay. Actual clay chips were used in the United States during the late 1800's; however, these easily broken chips were quickly replaced by clay filled composites that provided much greater durability and security. In the early part of the 1900’s chips were commonl ...The History of Chuck-A-Luck Chuck A Luck is a gambling game that employs three dice and a wire cage or cone-shaped chute. The dice used are standard six-sided cubes numbered from 1 to 6 at each side. The chute, which can be made of either leather or metal, is usually called a ‘horn’.The use of metal chutes in the game of Chuck A Luck is associated with the so-called ...1/6/06 NBA Basketball Picks: Tracy McGrady Versus Vince Carter Best: Mavericks @ Nuggets: A game with a lot of scoring and no defense- haven’t seen a game like that in awhile. What’s strange is that mother loads of these games all seem to occur on Friday. If Dirk was a low-post Power Forward and not a jump shooting one, he’d have a great game. But he won’t take advantage of Eduardo Najera ...Pitfalls In The Selection Of A Sports Book With the number and variety of sports books reaching dizzy heights lately, the job of an online sport bettor has also become more complex and tough. While the seasoned on line bettor on these sites may not require any input on the subject of choice and selection of the betting sites, the prevailing situation calls for more restraint and exposure ...Online Texas Holdem Internet Texas Holdem poker gives players the chance to play around the clock. It provides an option of practicing and learning the game online 24/7. For beginners needing practice and for those wanting to improve their poker skills this is a great opportunity.In online poker rooms one can play against actual people with actual money. All ...The Day I Decided To Stop Gambling With Gamblers Anonymous Everything was going perfect for me in life. Good job, good home, good life and good friends. Until one day some friends asked if I wanted to go to the casino. By the time I realized it, three years of my life were gone and I was in debt. It was time to quit.The day I decided to stop gambling I was depressed and relieved at the same time. ...Minnesota Casinos Minnesota casinos are located in the "Land of 10,000 Lakes," a Northern state known for its natural beauty, cultural attractions, and a prosperous economy. Minnesota, ranked as the "Most Livable State" in the United States, has a population of over 5,000,000 people and an area of 79,610 square miles. The capital of Minnesota, St. Paul, with a po ...NY Jets Season Predictions You might not recognize a lot of faces for the 2006 Jets football team, because it was a major off-season overhaul. Last season was supposed to be a promising one for the Jets as they finished just a field goal shy of making the 2004 AFC Championship game with a shot at the Super Bowl. It ended with a lot of injuries and a very ugly team on the ...Games That Cost You A Fortune Besides the obvious fact that some online casinos (an estimated 30%) will never pay their customers one red cent either because you will never win or they fail to pay out if you do, there are some “bad bets” no matter where you play. This article looks at some of the games that will cost you a fortune if you don’t change your gambling ways. ...Win Blackjack – Don't Make These Common Errors! If you want to win at blackjack, you need to understand the psychology of the game and its importance.Many players can win at blackjack but lose as they make psychological errors that lead to their downfall. They are easy to avoid with the right attitude so let’s look at them.Disciplined Play Will Give BIG Profits but...To w ...FSU/NC State Thursday Night ACC Action Florida State enters Thursday night’s game already behind three teams in the Atlantic Coast Conference and the Seminoles will have to conquer the road if they want to get back in the division hunt as they will play three of their next four games away from Tallahassee.At the beginning of the season, many experts would have counted out the ...Cowboys/Redskins Sunday Night Football Matchup The Cowboys and Redskins, one of the league’s most intriguing rivalries, square off in week two on the Sunday night stage. Both teams went down in week one and both teams will be trying to get back on track this week. If Dallas wants to get in the win column, it will have to have better play from veteran quarterback Drew Bledsoe. I’m expecting a ...Sports Handicapping Sports handicapping services are made up of many professional handicappers. Handicappers are persons that make a living selling their picks to sports bettors. But what are picks? Picks are predictions of the results of future games made out of deep analysis of many factors.Many sports bettors have choose to pay for sports handicapping. Be ...Keys For Your Selection of Betting Sites Ever since online betting sites have become hot favorites of the millions of luck seekers of the internet world, the selection of reliable and trustworthy sites is becoming a major issue in the field of on line betting. On the spot conventional betting provides the bettors a fairly good knowledge of the betting facilitators and the advantage of ...The Dish: MoClo No Mo' Say it ain't so, MoClo.Let me get this out on the table straight away: I'm a Michigan Wolverines fan. Have been from the first game I can remember: the 1977 Rose Bowl, during which an seven-year-old version of myself clearly became enamored with Michigan's maize-and-blue color scheme, and those funny ear-things on their helmets. Anyway, t ...Basketball Sports Gambling Strategy Basketball sports’ gambling is a game of skill and relies on a great deal of strategy, which must be used in order to win. The challenge is to gather and analyze as much information as you can about a game, weigh the probabilities of each team winning, and subsequently compare your opinion to the odds makers. Make the right judgment and you win. ...How to Become a Poker Affiliate Partner If you’d like a quick and easy way to make some extra income by using the Internet you should become a poker affiliate. It’s simple to become a poker affiliate. All you do is go to a top Internet poker room and sign up with its affiliate program. There is no charge and all the tools you need for success are provided for you. The poker room will ...Miami Heat The Miami Heat won the 2006 NBA Championship, and they are going to be looking to get another one again in 2007. And if you take a look at the lineup that they have returning, you will probably agree that they have a better than average chance of repeating as champions.There are two players in particular that are going to drive the Miami ...Poker Card Games Poker is the most popular of a class of card games called vying games, where players with fully or partially concealed cards make wagers into a common pool, which is awarded to the player(s) with the best combination of cards.There is no one version of poker; there exist many variations. All the poker versions are generally played with a ...How To Play Bingo Bingo is probably on if the easiest gambling games to play, but requires a keen ear, a keen eye and quick reaction. This is what makes bingo the popular games it is today. What follows is a quick overview of how to play online bingo!Most bingo games online are very similar and are very easy to play. The objective of bingo is very simple. ...Play Holdem Online With the ever-growing popularity of Holdem poker games, most notably Texas Holdem, many people are finding out how exciting it can be to play Holdem online. The majority of online poker websites cater to Holdem players, with Texas Holdem games being the most prevalent.Many poker players find that when they play Holdem onl ...Kansas Casinos There are five Kansas Casinos gamblers can enjoy while visiting the state. Kansas casinos are located in Horton, Mayette, Powhattan, and White Cloud and tourists should make a point to stop in one or more of the Kansas casinos during their stay. Likewise, in addition to the five Kansas casinos, tourists may also enjoy paying a visit to Kansas' W ...
|
