Evaluating MLB Pitching
As a MLB baseball fan and sports bettor, you probably know that one key element in any baseball game is the pitching. A solid pitcher can completely shutdown an opposing side. What happens when you have two very good pitchers going at it? Usually the game is low scoring—no matter how good the hitters are. Just the opposite can happen when to sub-par pitchers take the mound. Knowing how to properly evaluate pitching is key to winning your baseball bets. However, evaluating can be a complicated task. Just what should we pay attention to? That’s the purpose of this article. We will discus what’s important to look at and use the past performance of real pitchers to illustrate these points. It’s time to play ball. ERA The most common mistake for those wagering on MLB baseball has to be simply looking at the pitcher’s ERA. The ERA is important, but you have to dig a little deeper to get the full story. Let’s take a look at Chicago White Sox pitcher Freddy Garcia. Let’s imagine that it’s late in the season and he’s on the mound with his 3.87 ERA. It would be easy to look at that and decide that he’s a good pitcher. However, looking at his stats deeper tells a tale of two pitchers—home and away. Let’s compare. 1. At home, Garcia has a 4-5 record. On the road he is 10-3. 2. At home, his ERA is 4.38. On the road his ERA is 3.40. 3. At home he gave up 17 home runs 38 walks. On the road he gave up 9 home runs and 22 walks. 4. He pitched 10 more innings on the road. So what does this data tell you? For one, it tells you that Freddy Garcia is not a good pitcher at home. By looking deeper into the ERA and where the game is being played, you can get a better picture of just who’s taking the mound for a game. Team Performance Another area you want to look at is team performance, which looks at how well the pitcher has performed against the team. While you can look at history, it’s best to look at the current season and only pull in history if there are no current season performances. The reason is simple; teams change, at least a little, each year. Let’s keep looking at Freddy Garcia to see why team performance is so important. Take a look at a couple teams Garcia pitched against in 2005 and the outcome. 1. Garcia pitched four games against Detroit and had a 2.61 ERA. 2. Garcia pitched four games against Cleveland and had a 2.63 ERA. 3. Garcia pitched three games against Seattle and had an 8.35 ERA. 4. Garcia pitched two games against Oakland and had a 3.46 ERA. By looking at team performance, we can see that Garcia’s outcome fluctuated and there are certain teams that he just does not do well against and others he dominates. We just looked at ERA here, but you can drill down further and look at overall pitching performance such as: hits, walks, home runs, innings pitched and so forth. Inning Count The last area of our discussion involves inning count. It’s vital that you know how deep, on average, the pitcher goes into games. If the pitcher is known for 5-6 inning outings, then you know the bullpen will be a major factor in the game. If this is the case and the team’s bullpen is suspect, you have to devalue the starting pitcher some. If you have a pitcher that normally works 7-8 innings and the team has a dominant closer and possibly a very good setup man, then you can focus more on the starting pitcher. Here’s an example list of pitchers and their 2005 averages. 1. Freddy Garcia 7 innings. 2. Randy Johnson 6 2/3 innings. 3. Pedro Martinez 7 innings. 4. Jose Contrares 6 13/ innings. 5. Livian Hernandez 7 innings. In the case of Randy Johnson and Jose Contrares, we would have to discount their ability slightly if their team’s bullpen was not solid. Getting 7 innings of work out of a starting pitcher is good and about the average. So the next time you go to bet baseball, look at who is pitching and do a little evaluating. It will pay off in the end. Sebastien Veilleux is the founder and players manager of AdvantageSportsBetting.com and one of the top experts in the sports betting industry today. Advantage Sports Betting is a world leader in online sports betting, horse wagering, casino, poker and a proud member of the Betcorp family of gaming sites. Betcorp is publicly listed on the Australian & London Stock Exchange. |
Other Betting Exchange Articles
Fraudulent Sports Books It’s one thing to have to beat the odds; it’s another to have to beat the book. Betting sports online is a fun and entertaining activity, but danger looms around the corner. Most sports bettors constantly seek out new sports books to play at and to use for line comparisons. However, not all sports books are legitimate—as you can imagine. How ...NASCAR And CCC: Attending To Rising Fuel Prices Car owners and drivers, as well, certainly have felt the effects of the upward movement of gas prices. In fact, many people have opted to use public transportation rather than use their cars and vehicles because of the high amount you have to pay in exchange for a liter or so of gas.Now, it seems like everybody else is affected. Even the ...Krrish– Has Left the Building! Some call it the world's largest film industry. Indian filmmaking has come of age. The latest blockbuster Krrish has laid the foundation for a new era in Bollywood.Just as Hollywood has been presenting movies that are sold as branded, marketed and well rounded products so has our own film industry finally learnt how to sell a movie ...Casino Games - Blackjack Whether you’re new to casino gaming or a casino veteran, blackjack is one of the simplest and most fun card games casinos have to offer. The objective in blackjack is to beat the dealer by getting a hand as close to 21 as possible without going over. To play casino blackjack, you need only a basic understanding of the rules and a desire to have ...Barter: It's Not Just for Doctors Anymore Time was, in the country, the local “doc” was as likely to get paid with a couple of chickens as a couple of dollars. Doctors these days won’t stand for that, of course, but while some people have moved completely away from barter and stayed there, others have embraced it wholeheartedly.Today I worked on a barter deal with a web designer ...Astral Attack: It's More than Just Witchcraft Believe it or not most astral Attacks are not caused by curses or witchcraft. Half the time astral attacks are not intentional. They take place on the subconscious level and are the result of negative thinking, verbal abuse that goes round and round in the head, stale energy that has been left behind in a place and bungled rituals that may have ...Be a Sharp Gambler The gambling world is full of people who just throw down hard earned money without thinking about what they are doing. Are you one of those people who will just go with the flow? If so, you are most likely a losing gambler or you are not winning as much money as you could be. There are three main factors that make up every successful gambler ...Movie Rental Coupons In today’s fast paced world, people are always looking out for a chance when they can simply relax. Hollywood movies can provide the perfect getaway. Watching movies with family and friends is a conventional source of entertainment. However, it is not always possible to visit a theater. For these reasons, movie rental services are very popular n ...Do You Want to Beat the Slots? Read These Important Facts Every day I get email from "experts" that want to sell me their system describing how I too can beat the slots. Some even suggest that I could easily make $1,000 per day. Well, I would love to make $1,000 per day playing the slots, but they are all scams to sell you worthless information. Sure, you "could" easily make $1,000 per day, but … yo ...The Perfect Ski Vacation A lot of planning has gone into preparations for the perfect ski trip. You've targeted an adventure at Ski Apache in Southern New Mexico. Good choice! Ski Apache is one of those well kept ski secrets. 55 breathtaking trails and the largest lift capacity in New Mexico make for maximum skiing and a minimum of waiting.Nearby Ruidoso, New Mex ...Ace Ventura: Pet Detective (Movie Review) Jim Carrey's breakout role, Ace Ventura is one of the funniest films of the 1990s. Written by the former In Living Color writer himself, the film centers around an oddball kook of a lead character who investigates missing pets. If you enjoy Jim Carrey's brand of humor (and it's not for everyone), then you'll love Ace Ventura. A bit more mainstre ...Bring on the New TV Dramas The 2005-06 television season is just a few weeks old, but there are some clear winners and losers amongst the new shows, both in quality and ratings. I took a bullet for y’all and sat down to watch just about every new show to come down the pipe this fall, sorted through them, and came up with a list of winners that are worthy of your precious ...Free Poker Games There are many sites that offer free poker games online and this number is increasing all the time. Online poker is an attractive pastime for many people that can be enjoyed from home. While some sites offer a variety of free poker games for you to play, yet other sites specialize in one certain type of poker. Some of the free poker games that a ...Baseball At Its Best...Los Guerreros de Oaxaca Where else but in Mexico can you park two blocks away from the ballpark, buy a pair of field level seats beside the dugout, eat a personal size pizza, have a beer, pastry, lollipop and tic-tacs, and be entertained for more than three hours during a warm, breezy evening, all for about $15 USD. The Mexican baseball season begins each March, with ...You Are Always Beautiful We think that we lack beauty and live in an imperfect world but that is only because we are not seeing correctly.Beauty is an act of consciousness. It is an appreciation of color and form in the phenomena of experience.Your form is always beautiful because it has been created with exquisite craftsmanship. Each cell is a celebrati ...Just What is Currency Option Trading Some people, when they hear about the currency market, they only think about the foreign exchange market. Rarely do you hear about the other side of currency trading which is known to some people as currency options trading.Currency options trading involve selling and buying the rights to buy and sell a certain fixed amount of a currency ...Gambling Revenue Options When it comes to making money in the gambling industry, there are more than one way to skin a cat. Today I wanted to talk to you about the differences between two popular methods—private label verses affiliate programs. Chances are, you are more than familiar with affiliate programs, but are a bit green in the private label department. A private ...Listening to Your Heart! Trying to predict stock price movements is necessary, of course. After all, when stock prices fall, the cost of borrowing and of issuing new equity can rise, and falling stock prices can both undercut the confidence of employees and customers and handicap mergers. Unfortunately, however, most of these predictions are no more than rough guesses, ...New Legislation Seeks to Halt Internet Wagering in the U.S. President Bush has signed into law new legislation seeking to halt online gambling by making it illegal to transfer funds for the purposes of internet gaming. The Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act gives teeth to the administration’s censure of online gaming sites in the absence of an outright ban.What the Act Does ...A Guide to Common Soccer Betting Terms Accumulator. Sometimes called a parlay. A bet where the winnings from one bet are placed on the next bet. The winnings accumulate, giving a large theoretical return. In reality, not very profitable as it only takes one to lose and your whole bet loses.Arbitrage. A combination of bets which guarantees a theoretical risk free ...Big Brother 6 - Sam Heuston Despite being the best looking girl in Big Brother 6, sexy Sam Heuston was voted out third, lasting a total of 22 days and despite describing herself as "the horniest girl you’ve ever met", bisexual-by-numbers Sam was quite dull in the house and couldn't even tempt eventual winner Anthony Hutton into some action.Housemate Sam was a market ...The Weather Man (DVD) Review Ignored by the Academy Awards, The Weather Man struck a chord with certain critics and audience members. Pirates Of The Caribbean director Gore Verbinski took the reins of this film which attempts to imitate American Beauty (1999) in its probing dissection of the emptiness of the American pop culture and its emphasis on materialism, fame, and ar ...Currency Options - 3 Secrets Of Options Trading For Huge Gains! Many traders love the idea of currency options, they have unlimited gains and limited risk – sounds great in theory, but in practice 90% expire worthless!This article is all about how the pros use currency options to generate big consistent gains and how the losing majority don’t understand the odds of success.This article will giv ...Securing Risk-free Arbitrages on Betting Exchanges Most people have now become familiar with the concept of arbitrages, and the opportunities which betting exchanges create in order to secure an arbitrage.As a very brief explanation to those who may be unfamiliar to the term, an arbitrage is the practice of taking advantage of a state of imbalance between two or more markets. A combinatio ...The Rise in UK Gambling I woke up this morning to the headline “UK gamblers spent over £42 billion last year”. Apparently we are spending more and more on gambling every year; the article went on to say that we are almost a nation of gambling junkies trying to bet at every opportunity, getting our fix wherever and whenever we can”. But is this fair? And is the problem ...TV and Cultural Imperialism As television has embraced a huge number of nations we shall speak about global international market. The term “cultural imperialism” primarily appeared to demonstrate negative consequences of media spread throughout the world. So the initial definition of this process still keeps its negativity. As the term “cultural imperialism” demonstrates a ...Video Poker - Choose the Best Machines There are three basic types of video poker machines:* Jacks or Better* Deuces Wild* Jokers WildTo keep things basic, we recommend you play only the Jacks or Better machines. The payouts are usually better and the draw strategy is more straightforward.What you're really looking for is a Jacks or Better mach ...Betting Exchanges and Lay Betting - An Introduction Too many gamblers are still living in the ‘dark ages’ and will only ever place a bet with a traditional bookmaker. They either can’t be bothered to learn how the exchanges work or simply don’t realise the features and value that can be had when betting within an exchange environment.Believe me, using a betting exchange is very easy, and ...Boosting Affiliate Income All too often affiliates adapt a sort of passive business strategy. Perhaps that's because affiliate don't technically own much of anything or perhaps it's just because they get used to having a company handles everything and pay them. To make more money as an affiliate there are a couple things you can do. These are active steps to building a b ...Using Arbitrage Trading to Make Money From Home In today’s world anymore you need to work two jobs. You need a part time job, and a full time job. The problem with this though is that it doesn’t allow you to have much time to do the things we should really be doing in life. Spending time with our kids, taking family vacations, buying a new home or car, and so much more. If you are anything li ...Online Poker Betting: How Safe Is Your Money? Many people can become concerned when it comes to online gaming. This is especially true when money is involved over the internet. So when you combine these two elements, online gaming and money, people can become a bit nervous. Online poker betting is just such an arena where money, the challenge of a game and the internet meet.However, ...
|
