Online Football Betting Secrets: Knowing When NOT To Bet
Sports Betting on the NFL and college football is a national pastime. Every week millions of dollars are bet on the home town favorites with local bookies. People bet even more money with online sports book agencies. Even the major news services publish all the betting stats. If you're going to bet money on games, you might as well be as informed as possible! There are even many sports betting sites that provide up-to-the-minute information on your favorite teams and this weeks games. Football Betting can be very profitable if you know the secrets the "smart money" gamblers use to consistently make money. One of the biggest secrets that smart money gamblers use is knowing when NOT to bet. Here's a perfect example. I analyzed the West Virginia vs. Louisville game, and concluded that West Virginia had the edge in the game. However, I also realized that there were a lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not bet on this game. Here is my analysis I released before the game: West Virginia vs. Louisville This game has all the signs of being one of the best games of the year, with both teams coming into the game 7-0. It's #3 ranked West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, both with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year's game was a classic, with West Virginia coming back from being down big in the 4th quarter to winning in overtime. So what's the game look like this year? If this game were being played at a neutral field, West Virginia would probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let's see if this makes sense... West Virginia is on an unprecedented roll. They haven't lost since Oct. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they lost to Virginia Tech. In the last two seasons they're 13-5 ATS as well. They're also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 ROAD games. These are some very impressive stats that tilt the scales in favor of WVU for tonight's game. Plus, the added bonus is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This may not seem like much, but in a close match-up like this, that extra point could make the difference between a push and a loss. But what about Louisville? Louisville's stats are almost as good as WVU's -except when it comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their last 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games. And if you're leaning towards WVU, here's a scary stat... Louisville hasn't lost at home since December 18, 2003! During this current run Louisville is averaging 49.4 points per game at home, while averaging only giving up 15.7 points per game at home. In case you didn't do the math, that means since their last home loss they've averaged beating their opponents by about 34 points per game. What's more impressive, the average line in these games has only been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten the spread, on average, by 13 points per game at home since 2003. Wow... how can you go against that? Here's how... Most of those stats were built up during the 2005 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They've had recent games in which they've only scored 28, 23, 24 points. And these games weren't against Ohio St. or Michigan. They were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. The bottom line is that this is still a close game to call. But what I look for is West Virginia's defense to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there's no reason to think WVU can't hold them to the low to mid 20's. My honest recommendation is to lay off this game and not bet at all. There are better games this weekend with more clear-cut advantages. The final score of this game was Louisville 44, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to return a punt for a TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia's edge wasn't so big that they could still win after making so many mistakes. By not betting on this game, people serious about Football Betting saved money they can put to better use on upcoming games. David James is one of the world's foremost Football Betting experts. Not only does James have an uncanny knack for knowing who to bet on, but he also is one of the best at providing in depth explanations and statistics showing exactly why each pick meets his criteria. http://www.davidjamessports.com |
Other Casino Bonus Articles
Texas Hold'em Poker : Guide to Build Your Own Bankroll I've heard a lot of people chatting on the forum and at pokerstars about how they have deposited before but have busted out and now dont have any cash in their accountBankroll management is one of the most important aspects of making money in poker. I'm no expert but ill let you know how I built up my bankroll slowly but surelyI fi ...If I Didn't Have Bad Luck, I'd Have No Luck At All Monday: I moved all my business records to the computer as advised by my accountant. Last night after closing, when working on invoices needed for today's tax payment, everything disappeared from the screen. One second it was there and the next second, it was gone. Vanished! I re-entered three months worth of invoices again and then printer ...Roulette Tips – 4 Simple Tips for Huge Roulette Profits! Roulette is the perfect casino game it’s simple to play fun, exciting and for a game of pure chance the odds of success are good.The 4 roulette tips enclosed are all you need to maximize your chances of success in this great game so here they are:Tip 1: Play European WheelThe best roulette wheel to play is the European wheel ...Internet Poker Bonus With the current popularity of playing poker online, there are many sites to choose from. As a way to compete for your business, many of these sites are now offering great bonuses for setting up an account and playing with them. You can receive bonuses of merchandise, cash, or both. Almost every site offers some kind of internet poker bonus. ...High Roller Online Casino Bonus Is Tricky When I first started playing at online casinos few years ago, I was a real bonus whore who tried out every possible way of getting free casino cash, every free dime and gambled it away. I never purchased maximum amount of money back then to receive maximum amount of bonus money, because I always thought: "Hey, I am going to win eventually anyway ...#31 Arkansas Razorbacks Preview Spring practices are in the books and fall camps will be here before you know it so that means getting an early jump on the 2006 NCAA football season. Knowing the teams now will save you time in August and Matt Fargo is here to help you get a grasp of what to expect this upcoming year. We go from worst to first in this 2006 College Football Prev ...Playing Poker: Moving From Online Games To Real Life Casinos Let’s say you have played online poker for a while and now are curious about real poker rooms. When you go for the first time in a casino, things get different and you might face some emotion you will have to hide like anxiety, hesitation and even fear. Even if you get a little intimidated at first because of the huge rooms and the agitation all ...Win at Video Poker Slot Machines - How to Win Big! There is one type of slot machine that if played with patience, and a strategy you will find below, and reasonable steak of luck, you can win, and will win big.Video slot machines allow you to win as they are slot machines with an element of skill.Video Poker slots are a fun game, but require skill to play correctly. Here lays the ...Free Texas Hold em Poker Strategy: Four Fast Acquired Poker Habits Poker mania has exploded the number of those who want to play poker on a professional level. Poker games of all types are being played online, in homes and casinos all over the world by those who can’t get enough of poker. Those seeking to rise to the professional level take their poker games seriously, and will take advantage of any game time t ...#19 Tennessee Volunteers Preview Fall camps are under way and the regular season will be here soon so that means getting an early jump on the 2006 NCAA football season. Knowing the teams now will save you time and Matt Fargo is here to help you get a grasp of what to expect this upcoming year. We go from worst to first in this 2006 College Football Preview.#19 – Tennesse ...Lotto Game Plays There are many ways to play Lotto, but which game plays will make you a winner. Below is only a few Lotto game play strategies you could use to find that elusive winning sequence. In this article we will be looking at a 6/49 Lotto game, but it could be used in other types of Lotteries as well. A 6/49 Lotto game basically means you choose 6 numbe ...Sushi Buffets Anyone? It was 25 years ago when I was first introduced to sushi, and it was love at first taste. I’ve been a sushi addict ever since. Back in 1981, I was in grade 11 living with my parents in Vancouver, Canada. That Christmas for the holidays, I went out to Irvine, California, to visit with my cousin and his wife, who were studying at UC-Irvine. I reca ...Illinois Casinos Illinois is home to riverboat casinos, and there are 9 major casinos in Illinois. Illinois casinos have been limited by the government's restrictions and are taxed at the highest rate in the nation. The laws also limit the amount of gaming licenses that can be issued to 9, and the state is now at the maximum for gaming licenses. Illinois casinos ...2005 World Series of Poker -- Final Tournament Report Now that the 2005 World Series of Poker has finished, we can tell you what took place in Events #23 through #45. But most importantly we can announce what happened in the Main Event and who won the $7,500,000 top prize and became the 2005 champion.Event #23 "Seven Card Stud" had a happy Jan Sorensen from Denmark ready to take home $293,27 ...Omaha Poker: Winning Strategy Tips One of the most played and overvalued hand in poker are the pocket aces. They are always played and everyone has confidence in them. Players that usually play Texas hold’em usually rely on the aces in Omaha more than they should. The absolute stating hand in Omaha actually is 2-3-A-A and it has to be played always, no matter the position or the ...Casino Bonuses Explained There is a lot of competition in the online gambling market today. Each day, new casinos form, old ones regroup and change owners, and the supply is nearly endless.When a player is looking to choose in which casino to play, he (or she), has many different factors to consider:• Do I like the look of the casino? • Does it have th ...Texas Holdem Poker Strategy: Playing the Blinds The blinds in Texas hold'em are positions that oblige the player to place a bet before getting to see the cards. A blind is often thought of an imposed pre-flop bid, because it is made before getting your cards. You don't have a choice when in this position and you will have o bet the amount the game imposed for the respective blind. Texas hold' ...Your Lottery Odds and The Fastest, No Cost Way To Radically Improve Them If I had a lottery ticket for every time I've heard "well I play the Mega Millions lottery because the jackpot is so much bigger"...OK, in my head I'm thinking "but don't you know you have 10 times less chance of winning?"... I do try to be polite about it.Fact is, lottery organisers love creating games with very long odds. Why? Be ...Casino Games History or How People Have Learnt to Count Cards; Part 2 Thorp's Era.If you don’t know, now we are living in 43th year of Thorp’s era. This person had such a great influence on the blackjack and all the gambling industry, that I seriously consider that he is worth of setting up a monument while alive, by the way at the casino’s expense.Being a young scientist, Edward O. Thorp regularly r ...Bad Luck in Poker For a game where most players rarely consider luck, there are lots of superstitions in poker. When you mention that someone was lucky in that poker tournament they won, be careful of how you say it. For instance, if you mention that you were unlucky, your luck may never change.Ok, that may sound a bit ubsurd, but poker is a game loaded ...Poker Cheating When playing poker, one must always be aware of cheats. When playing online, the number of people that don’t play fair is significantly reduced. The dealer can’t be bought because the dealer is a program, that randomly deals the cards and programs don’t care about money, they can’t cheat or have preferences. Unlike real life poker, online poker ...Traits of Successful Online Poker Players Discipline is a must if you are hoping for a streak of consecutive winnings. You must never let yourself get carried away by a game even if you feel lucky. A disciplined player knows when to stop, what hands to play and what hands not to play and what types of games are for him.Take challenges only when and if you know for sure that you s ...How to Earn a Profit from Blackjack Rather Than Using so Called "Winning Systems" As a casino player, would you want to lose money by using those so called "winning systems" ? No doubts there might be some winning systems that might work. But not in the long run. The fact is that the player will eventually lose due to the percentage house edge which flavour the casino.I will not use any winning systems but instead use ...Is Online DVD Rental or Pay-Per-View the Best Way to Get Your Movies? With renting methods such as online DVD rental and pay-per-view, it seems almost old-fashioned to go to the rental store. But with all the different ways to get the latest movies, which way is the best? Well, that depends on what is important to you. Here are some of the different ways you can get the latest movies and the pros and cons of each. ...Poker Online Playing Poker in Internet We will not talk about benefits of playing in internet before offline playing, but we will see what advantages/disadvantages, specifics has the poker online.Unlike offline poker, online poker playing sessions usually are much shorter, players at the table are changing very often, rarely a player plays more than one-two hours in a row. As ...Poker, Poker, Poker Poker has been around for centuries, so how come the sudden boom that has recently taken the Internet by storm?I’m a big poker fan, and have been for years. I played poker regularly with my friends and family years before the advent of poker online. There were some things that I didn’t like about playing with my friends: the first thing w ...A Guided Tour of an Online Casino Directory Using the comprehensive online casino directory CasinoBrain as our guide, we will lay out in this article the features you should expect from a high quality online casino directory.Top ListsIn all their catchy, short attention span suiting, bottom-line giving glory. A good online casino directory will cut straight to the bon ...Casino Games History or How People Have Learnt to Count Cards; Part 3 Gladiators . Mathematical developments of the game pioneers and creation of simple and efficient counting systems incited the appearance of a great galaxy of professional players and experts of blackjack.Revere invented a new simple counting system and first described the method of reducing the current score to the real one. Stanford Wong ...Skill Versus Luck in Poker The money to be gained or lost in a home game tends to mean next to nothing and everyone almost always plays every hand to the end. Add in to that, dealer's choice & the ever popular "wild cards" and you have a recipe for gambling on your hand, not playing it. In these situations, it's often the middle hand that wins by catching a lucky card o ...Is There A "Best Time Of Day" To Bet Online? You may be one of those gamblers who like to sit down and doing a little online gambling after a hard day at work. You may be a gambler who works at night and gambles during the day. Or, you may be a professional gambler who could care less what time of day it is, as long as there is a game to be played. Experts have visited the thought that the ...
|
