Football Betting Secrets: Making Money From The Weather
Sports Betting on the NFL and college football is a national pastime. Every week millions of dollars are bet on the home town favorites with local bookies. People bet even more money with online sports book agencies. Even the major news services publish all the betting stats. If you're going to bet money on games, you might as well be as informed as possible! There are even many sports betting sites that provide up-to-the-minute information on your favorite teams and this weeks games. Football Betting is a way that professional "smart money" gamblers make money. One of the most overlooked ways to make money from football betting is by understanding the teams, and how they will play in different weather conditions. Let's look at an example of my analysis of a game where the teams were expected to play in a driving rainstorm: Oakland at Seattle -7 This game presents a bit of a mystery since Seattle is playing without their #1 QB and without their #1 running back. This means that all the previous stats, etc., are pretty much meaningless in terms of handicapping this game. Generally speaking, I like to stay away from games like this because they are typically what I call "coin flip" games -that is there isn't enough data to determine if the odds are in your favor or not. However... this game may be an exception. Let me explain why. First and foremost, Seattle's defense took them to the Super Bowl last year, but they've stunk out the joint this year. In Seattle's last 5 games, they've given up 35, 31, 28, 37, and 42 points. This may be the most stunning surprise of this season. And who did they give up this many points to? High-powered teams like Indianapolis? Nope. They gave up these points to KC, Minnesota, St. Louis, Chicago, and the Giants. Sure, these teams are decent, but keep in mind Minnesota could barely score against SF, and the other teams have been inconsistent on offesne all season -except when they played Seattle. In their two early wins the defense looked good, but keep in mind those games were against Arizona and Detroit. Oakland on the other hand has played horrible all season on offense. They managed just 98 total yards against Pittsburgh, a team that's been abused defensively all season. Oakland is averaging only 123 yards per game passing, which is really astonishing considering they've been in many games where they needed to play catch-up and still couldn't manage to rack up many yards, even against other team's prevent defense. It's even more astonishing considering that they have Randy Moss to throw to. Moss should at least get some double-coverage which you'd think would free up somebody, somewhere in the secondary. It used to be that classic games pitted the immovable force vs. the unstoppable object. This game is the exact opposite. It's the inept offense vs. the inept defense. Oakland is ranked dead last in the NFL in offense. Seattle is ranked 29th in defense. Who know's what's going to happen? Well, we don't know exactly what's going to happen in the game, but what we do know about is the weather. It's pouring in Seattle today, and they're expecting 2 inches of rain. The wind is at 18 mph, gusting to 23 mph. The field is covered, but it's going to be VERY sloppy tonight and very windy. The rain is expected to get heavier by tonight's 5:30 pm PST start (8:30 EST). Now there are two schools of thought on this. The first is that the sloppy conditions will lead to more turnovers, and make it easier to pass because the receivers know where they're going, but the defenders have to react. Plus, the sloppy conditions are going to lead to possibly more turnovers, etc. But this cuts both ways. The turnovers could easily come when a team is knocking on the door about to score as they could when they're backed up near their own goal line. The other school of thought is that the weather is going to make it next to impossible to move the ball and score. This is why the o/u line is sitting at 36. The o/u line is also sitting at 36 because Seattle QB Senaca Wallace has one of the most pathetic QB ratings possible, a measly 59.0. I say "one of the most pathetic" QB ratings because Oakland's QB Andrew Walter has an ever worse rating at 49.0. This may be lowest combined QB ratings of any game in the NFL. So what's this all mean? First, it means that Seattle has the edge because of Seneca Wallace. Wallace, unlike Walter, is like having an extra back in the backfield. Oakland's defensive line is going to have problems with their footing, and when they do break into the backfield, Wallace is going to be quick to sprint forward out of the pocket and the Raider defenders are going to be helpless to react on the wet turf. Wallace stinks throwing the ball anyway so the wind isn't going to affect him as much as it's going to affect Walter, a more classic drop-back QB. So the bottom line is this. I do NOT recommend even playing this game because there move the ball on the ground, especially with Wallace running the ball out of the pocket. With all this in mind, I look for Seattle are too many unknowns. However, if you really feel like you must take a side on this game I look for Oakland to have trouble scoring, probably scoring in the single digits. I look for Seattle to be able to to win 17-6. What really happened in this game? Seneca Wallace, Seattle's QB, had 49 yards rushing, including a key run of 37 yards. Seattle won 16-0. David James is one of the world's foremost football betting experts. Not only does James have an uncanny knack for knowing who to bet on, but he also is one of the best at providing in depth explanations and statistics showing exactly why each pick meets his criteria. http://www.davidjamessports.com |
Other Casino Gambling Articles
Craps Game Rules Aside from Poker and perhaps even Roulette, Craps is one of the more well known casino games, both in the real and virtual gambling world. Craps’ simplicity and excitement draw both amateur and professional gamblers and the monetary stakes vary, attracting both average players and high rollers. The unique aspect of craps is that is not limited t ...Bingo! BINGO is one of the more social online gambling games, mostly because it involves a lot of interaction. Many times BINGO gambling sites include chat rooms and other ways for players to communicate with one another. The basics of the game are simple--most kids are familiar with it--but there may be some terms you've never heard before that can he ...A Crash Course on Casino Bonuses Online casinos have been flooding the online world lately. It seems that they have been trying very hard in attracting more and more players to try their luck at online casinos. They have been have been trying to think up of different offers to catch a potential player’s attention. One such promotion is offering different types of casino bonuse ...Getting Started: Online Gambling For people new to the world of online gambling, the web sites can be overwhelming at first. There are many gambling sites to choose from and many games to play. From Texas Hold-em to betting on horses, these sites are packed with lots to try. When gambling online for the first time, try some of the easier sites. Sites that offer poker for fun, n ...Card Counting Secrets Does card counting work? Yes. In the nine years I worked as a blackjack dealer, I saw a lot of hopeful schemes and ideas, and while many failed, some of them really worked. Card counting, in particular, has a proven track-record of making money for those who are willing to do it right.Card counting is a little too involved to teach in a s ...Affiliate Marketing Tool Many people who are looking for reliable ways to make on the Internet are turning to affiliate marketing programs. With these programs you simply sign up for free with a company that wants your help in marketing its products or services. You don’t have to buy and resell products yourself, you simply refer people to the company website and if the ...An Introduction to Slot Machines Slot machines are one of the most popular games to play at casinos. On any given night, expect most of the machines to be filled with eager players. They come in a variety of playing levels; some only cost five cents a play and others can cost as much as twenty dollars a play. Although slot machines are a gambling tool, many people are intimidat ...Consider Your Position In Texas Hold'em The online game of Texas Hold’em is very much a poker game where position is everything. A lot of online players, especially novices, do not know this, so you can use this small piece of knowledge to your advantage!Strong starting hands such as an A-A or K-K can usually be played effectively from any position at the table. You can comfort ...An Introduction To Poker Tables Poker tables are generally built by using poker table felt and other poker table supplies. Most of the poker table tops are constructed with sheets of plywood; some of these have rails and some have cup holders. Some tables are covered with poker cloth or billiard felt, whereas others use faux suede or velveteen.Most of the poker table de ...Winning at Video Poker The Only Way To Win Is The Royal flush hit it and you will win at video poker.Other hands are simply there to fund your bankroll; it’s the royal flush that is the key to winning at video poker longer term.So, how do you maximize your chances of hitting the royal flush and winning at video poker longer term? Read on and find out...Get The Best Payo ...15 Reasons For Blackjack Etiquette Here are the top 15 reasons why you should never join someone else’s game and perhaps even ask before you join a blackjack table which already has a game in progress.1. You could find yourself in a confrontation with another player, especially if he or she has been extremely fortunate with a run of hands.2. It’s rude.3. If t ...Pathological Gambling Is A Progressive Disease Pathological gambling is a progressive disease that not only affects compulsive gamblers but all those they come in contact with them on a regular basis.A pathological gambler has a disorder that directly relates to impulse control. Those that are pathological gamblers continue to be negatively affected until they lose everything they wo ...Best Casino Affiliate Many people are finding out that one of the best ways to make money on the Internet is to become an affiliate with an online casino. The best casino affiliate program will pay to you refer players to its websites. The best casino affiliate program will also keep paying you as log as your referrals keep gambling on the site. Most of the actual wo ...Learn Pai Gow Poker Pai Gow Poker can be intimidating to the rank novice but it is relatively simple to play once you understand the basic rules of the game. This article takes a look at some of those rules and will help your understanding of this variation of poker.Pai Gow can be an extremely slow game at times and may frustrate those used to a fast and fra ...Spider Solitaire: A Strategy Guide For Beginners Spider solitaire is a well-known solitaire game, which has gained a lot in popularity since Microsoft have started shipping it free with windows. It is very hard though, and many people want to know how they can increase their chances of winning.The aim of spider solitaire is to build an ascending suit sequence in the foundation zone. Bu ...Online Casino Selection For first time online casino gamblers, deciding where to gamble is a big choice. It takes a lot of time. First of all, there are all the rumors about how some online casinos rip people off. Next, you have to decide if the place is really good or not. Finally, there's the whole getting your money back thing. I'm here to give you—even if you are n ...Best Poker Cardrooms If you want to try your hand at playing poker on the Internet you’ll find that there are many sites that will entice you to play. However, most people only want to play at one of the best poker cardrooms. The best poker cardrooms offer a variety of games to choose from such as Texas Hold’em, Seven-card stud, Omaha, and others. It’s also free to ...Finding the Right Online Poker Gambling Site for You You will hear varying opinions of which websites have the best online poker gambling. The reason is that everyone looks for something different in their gambling experience. They also have different skill sets when it comes to playing poker. If you are a newbie to online poker gambling, chances are that you will not want to visit a website that ...The Ranking Of Poker Hands Poker is becoming increasingly popular with more and more people not only playing the game but also watching television programs like the world series of poker. In this article, I describe the order in which poker hands are ranked, starting with the highest and also the probability that players have of being dealt that particular hand.A s ...Progressive Online Slot Machines – Six Simple Steps To Win a Million! Progressive online slot machines are making many lucky players millionaires and the jackpots are so huge today their life changing!So how do you give yourself the best chances of winning one of these stellar jackpots? Let’s find out!Progressive online slot machines offer jackpots that are larger than flat top machines.While ...How You Can Make Money With Online Football Gambling Sports Betting on the NFL and college football is a national pastime. Every week millions of dollars are bet on the home town favorites with local bookies. People bet even more money with online sports book agencies. Even the major news services publish all the betting stats. If you're going to bet money on games, you might as well be as informe ...Poker Tournament If you are new to the game of poker, one of the best, and most fun, ways to learn is the poker tournament. Casinos and card clubs usually have regularly scheduled poker tournaments throughout the week. The initial buy-in is generally minimal, from ten to twenty dollars. For this you'll receive hundreds of dollars of tournament chips. Poker tourn ...How to Win Texas Hold'em Texas Hold'em...minutes to learn, life time to master. One of the most important things that you need to do in order to win, is to be patient. Most people that are unsuccessful are the ones that like to play every hand and chase cards. Be selective on the hands you play and you will increase your odds greatly. Get an understanding of how the oth ...Online Poker Room Tips If you have already given online poker a try, you know how much fun you can have. However now that you’ve played a few games, you may be looking for a few online poker room tips to improve your play and help you win more money. A great place to start looking for online poker room tips is right at the site you play on. You can find lots of valuab ...Play Roulette and Win - Part 2 To play roulette to maximize your profit you need to play the wheel with the best odds and place the best bets and here we will show you how.We have already told you the rules to play roulette in part 1, so let's look at the bets.The House Edge European & American WheelsThe European wheel has 37 slots with a single 0; the Am ...Let it Ride Poker - The Excitement Of Letting It Ride To A Huge Payout Want to learn a new poker game that uses the poker hand rankings, but is all new in every other respect?Its called Let it Ride poker. Let it Ride poker is a game however where you need to get the odds on your side. We will show you how below, if you can you can let it ride to a huge payout!Just like blackjack, but unlike any other ...Top 10 Online Casinos Trying to find a good online casino can often be a daunting task. With so many choices out there, how do you know which ones are safe, secure, and honest? To assist you in your search, I’ve compiled a Top 10 list of online casinos. In order to put the list together, I looked at payout percentage, bonuses, customer reviews, and online rankings ...Learn to Play Blackjack & Win Big Pots Consistently - Part 1 Learn to Play Blackjack and Win Part 1Learning to play blackjack is easy and it is the one casino game where statistically you can hold an edge over the casino.You can learn blackjack easily the rules are simple but to win at blackjack you need to play correctly and bet when the odds are in your favorThis article will give y ...
|
