Football Betting Secrets: Making Money From The Weather
Sports Betting on the NFL and college football is a national pastime. Every week millions of dollars are bet on the home town favorites with local bookies. People bet even more money with online sports book agencies. Even the major news services publish all the betting stats. If you're going to bet money on games, you might as well be as informed as possible! There are even many sports betting sites that provide up-to-the-minute information on your favorite teams and this weeks games. Football Betting is a way that professional "smart money" gamblers make money. One of the most overlooked ways to make money from football betting is by understanding the teams, and how they will play in different weather conditions. Let's look at an example of my analysis of a game where the teams were expected to play in a driving rainstorm: Oakland at Seattle -7 This game presents a bit of a mystery since Seattle is playing without their #1 QB and without their #1 running back. This means that all the previous stats, etc., are pretty much meaningless in terms of handicapping this game. Generally speaking, I like to stay away from games like this because they are typically what I call "coin flip" games -that is there isn't enough data to determine if the odds are in your favor or not. However... this game may be an exception. Let me explain why. First and foremost, Seattle's defense took them to the Super Bowl last year, but they've stunk out the joint this year. In Seattle's last 5 games, they've given up 35, 31, 28, 37, and 42 points. This may be the most stunning surprise of this season. And who did they give up this many points to? High-powered teams like Indianapolis? Nope. They gave up these points to KC, Minnesota, St. Louis, Chicago, and the Giants. Sure, these teams are decent, but keep in mind Minnesota could barely score against SF, and the other teams have been inconsistent on offesne all season -except when they played Seattle. In their two early wins the defense looked good, but keep in mind those games were against Arizona and Detroit. Oakland on the other hand has played horrible all season on offense. They managed just 98 total yards against Pittsburgh, a team that's been abused defensively all season. Oakland is averaging only 123 yards per game passing, which is really astonishing considering they've been in many games where they needed to play catch-up and still couldn't manage to rack up many yards, even against other team's prevent defense. It's even more astonishing considering that they have Randy Moss to throw to. Moss should at least get some double-coverage which you'd think would free up somebody, somewhere in the secondary. It used to be that classic games pitted the immovable force vs. the unstoppable object. This game is the exact opposite. It's the inept offense vs. the inept defense. Oakland is ranked dead last in the NFL in offense. Seattle is ranked 29th in defense. Who know's what's going to happen? Well, we don't know exactly what's going to happen in the game, but what we do know about is the weather. It's pouring in Seattle today, and they're expecting 2 inches of rain. The wind is at 18 mph, gusting to 23 mph. The field is covered, but it's going to be VERY sloppy tonight and very windy. The rain is expected to get heavier by tonight's 5:30 pm PST start (8:30 EST). Now there are two schools of thought on this. The first is that the sloppy conditions will lead to more turnovers, and make it easier to pass because the receivers know where they're going, but the defenders have to react. Plus, the sloppy conditions are going to lead to possibly more turnovers, etc. But this cuts both ways. The turnovers could easily come when a team is knocking on the door about to score as they could when they're backed up near their own goal line. The other school of thought is that the weather is going to make it next to impossible to move the ball and score. This is why the o/u line is sitting at 36. The o/u line is also sitting at 36 because Seattle QB Senaca Wallace has one of the most pathetic QB ratings possible, a measly 59.0. I say "one of the most pathetic" QB ratings because Oakland's QB Andrew Walter has an ever worse rating at 49.0. This may be lowest combined QB ratings of any game in the NFL. So what's this all mean? First, it means that Seattle has the edge because of Seneca Wallace. Wallace, unlike Walter, is like having an extra back in the backfield. Oakland's defensive line is going to have problems with their footing, and when they do break into the backfield, Wallace is going to be quick to sprint forward out of the pocket and the Raider defenders are going to be helpless to react on the wet turf. Wallace stinks throwing the ball anyway so the wind isn't going to affect him as much as it's going to affect Walter, a more classic drop-back QB. So the bottom line is this. I do NOT recommend even playing this game because there move the ball on the ground, especially with Wallace running the ball out of the pocket. With all this in mind, I look for Seattle are too many unknowns. However, if you really feel like you must take a side on this game I look for Oakland to have trouble scoring, probably scoring in the single digits. I look for Seattle to be able to to win 17-6. What really happened in this game? Seneca Wallace, Seattle's QB, had 49 yards rushing, including a key run of 37 yards. Seattle won 16-0. David James is one of the world's foremost football betting experts. Not only does James have an uncanny knack for knowing who to bet on, but he also is one of the best at providing in depth explanations and statistics showing exactly why each pick meets his criteria. http://www.davidjamessports.com |
Other Casino Game Articles
Online Poker - What Traits Do You Need To Become A Great Player? The rules of poker are relatively simple to learn, as are the playing strategies such as bluffing, slow play etc. Yet the number of poker players who win consistently and win the big pots are relatively small.So what separates this small minority of winning players?Read on and find out!AttitudeThe first trait you need ...Online Gambling and Online Casinos Guide Online gambling and online casinos are great for the gambling fanatics. Online casinos offer the opportunity to the gambling lovers to play through the internet, regardless of their location. However, in the beginning, the uncertainty about losing the cash and doubt about the legality of the enterprise restrained quite a few players from enterin ...Take a Test Run in an Online Casino In the past, going to the casino meant flying to Las Vegas or driving to a hotel that has these facilities. Nowadays, this has changed. The person can do it all in the comforts of home while sitting down in front of the computer.Online casinos have been around for some time. The games are almost complete to what can be found in the land-b ...Best Online Poker Site In the past several years online poker has become more popular especially with the televised poker events such as Celebrity Poker. It is convenient to play poker online from home. There have been many new sites added and with so many choices it can be hard to find the best online poker site. You should take into consideration the variety of game ...Tips for Football Betting How depressingly gray would be a world where everything is governed by a set of universal rules rigorously shaping everything? Isn’t it better if we strike back with a chance to confound the tweed coated straight laced brigade and weave a little exotic odds into life that are not really approved of. It is precisely this change that inspires even ...Tips for Baccarat You’ve seen it in casinos. You’ve seen James Bond play it in the movies. Of course, we’re talking about the game of Baccarat. It’s a challenging game of chance which can test the nerves and determination of even the most seasoned gambler.In order to do well at the game, there are several tips which you should keep in mind. While these ...Blackjack Doubling Down – Do It Correctly & Increase Your Bankroll As you are going to win less than half the hands you play at blackjack, you need to up your bet size on hands when you see the odds are in your favor.If you want to win at blackjack you will need to learn how to double down and up your bet when the odds are in your favor to win longer term.Lets look at doubling down in more detai ...Five Tips For Improving Your Low-Limit Game Poker is a game of chance. Your winning the game depends very heavily on the hand you have, but there is a certain amount of strategy that you can incorporate into your game that can, help you overcome that hand when used correctly. The following are five tips that will help you when playing Low-Limit poker.Low-Limit poker is used when ...Why Football Lines Move When you are examining a football game that you are considering making a bet on, you will often find yourself faced with different betting lines based on the time of the week you are looking at the point spread or the Web site you are looking at. The lines are, barring injuries, set a week in advance. But most lines will see some movement throug ...South African Travel Tips when traveling in the Free State Province The Free State Province of South Africa is dry, but far from dull, the Free State with its vast open spaces and cloudless blue skies offers those who like to explore, literally and figuratively, the ideal canvas.Here outdoor enthusiasts can enjoy birding, game viewing, trophy hunting, hiking, horse riding, biking, 4x4 off-road driving, ri ...A Look At Roulette Gambling For the novice gambler, roulette gambling seems like a very difficult task to learn. It is true that learning the strategies used by pros can take years of experience to master, but you can find many sources online that outline the basics of roulette gambling. Just keep in mind that it takes a while to become a master gambler and to pace yoursel ...Poker Game Strategy - Tells and How to Read Your Opponents Being able to read other poker players is essential to being successful at winning hands at the poker table. This is the case whether the table is virtual or real, in a tournament or in your friends’ basement. If you are going to win against the other players, you need to know how to read their tells.One of the most valued skills among ...Win at Craps – Tips to Play Like a Pro and Win! For its sheer excitement, and reliance on chance, Craps has been the professional gamblers choice for hundreds, even thousands of years.It's fun, it’s exciting and you can win at craps if you follow the simple tips below.Gambling with dice (throwing of lots) is as old as the Bible and even older perhaps with references of dice play ...Poker Bluffing – Do You Know How To Use It Correctly? Even if a person doesn’t know all the rules to poker they know what poker bluffing is.They have seen it in films and on TV and see the hero deceive his opponent and win a huge jackpot,this means they think bluffing works all the time and use it to frequently and lose!To bluff correctly and make it effective, it should only be done ...Making Money from Bonus Hunting and How the Casinos are Fighting Back Bonus hunting has become a major headache for the online casinos. Some countries have been banned from receiving the special promotion offers available to new customers because the online casino simply could not sustain the losses that they were incurring. But what is this so called bonus abuse? How does it work? And what are the casinos doing t ...Roulette Systems – A Simple 3 Step Roulette System To Win! Roulette systems are big business on the internet. You can read great sales copy all about making thousands a month consistently, by just paying a few hundred dollars. Of course reality is they don’t work.If you want to use a system you can make one yourself, which will give a better chance of winning than any roulette system you can buy. ...NFL Wagering There are some important points to consider in sports wagering, specifically in NFL wagering. One of them is NFL wagering picks. NFL picks are pieces of information which specialist on NFL make while analyzing games, teams, past games, players and all factors that can make an effect on the outcome of a game.Picks can be general or deep in ...A Secret to the Game of Poker Poker is increasing in popularity and it seems like every channel has its own Texas hold'em tournament, whether it's played by celebrities, or athletes, or the not-so-handsome professional poker players.A secret to the game of pokerThere are excellent books written on poker from how to play to how to improve your play. But in this ...Gambling Card Games Card games for gambling purposes have been around for many years. Many card games have been developed and perfected. In fact, many people today have become addicted to gambling.Popular Card GamesWe are all familiar with the card games in casinos for gambling reasons because of the exposure they have been getting in recent times. ...Online Poker Site With all the stress and responsibilities of our lives, sometimes it can be tough to find the time for a little fun and socialization. You may miss the old days when all you and your friends had to do at night was sit around and play poker. With an online poker site, you can have that fun back without neglecting your responsibilities at home. You ...Online Casino Types Online Casinos are very popular and lot of people are playing and gambling. Online casinos can be divided into three groups based on their interface: web-based casinos, download-based casinos, and more recently live casinos. Some casinos offer multiple interfaces.Web-based CasinosWeb-based online casinos are different websites wher ...Blackjack Card Counting - Made Easy Blackjack is one of the few games where you can get an edge over the casino. How? By learning to card count you can then play with the odds in your favor longer term and iple up long term profits.Card counting can be easy and quick to learn and gives you an edge to win so let’s look at how blackjack card counting works.Before you l ...College Betting Pro football is traditionally the most popular avenue for sports betting—whether it’s in Vegas or an office pool on the Super Bowl. College betting is just as prevalent as pro football betting. However, it can be a bit more difficult than pro football betting.The reason is pretty simple: there are far fewer teams that are in the NFL tha ...Poker Games: Home Games vs. Casino Action People usually play poker at home or with friends for starters and the transition from their usual style they developed in these kinds of games and the style required if you play in a casino online or offline can be hard for some. The home games have always a simpler structure. Usually, all the players at the table ate a small amount. And then t ...Roulette Rules Even though roulette rules are fairly easy to learn, it is important to acquire the necessary knowledge before you go into a casino and start to play. If you are a newbie, this can definitely help you avoid any potential embarrassments or misunderstandings. Traditionally roulette has been played in regular offline casinos but today secure casino ...Online Casinos - Develop a Strategy to Suit You Online casinos pride themselves in offering people a different kind of thrill. They challenge people through risk taking. This they do by offering a variety of online casino games where people try their chance at winning in a variety of engaging activities. There are many for players to choose from. There are a variety of online slot machines on ...Online Craps – The Best Odds For a Game Of Chance To Win Online Craps can be entertaining and if you bet correctly you will lower the casino’s odds, and increase your own chance of winning and you will have the best odds in a game of chance.In fact, the odds are better than roulette baccarat or slots and its a simple game to play as well making it suitable for novice players.Lets look at ...Sunday NFL Gridbits - Week 9 Matt Fargo takes a brief glance at each game this Sunday and offers some thoughts and trends.CINCINNATI AT BALTIMORE 1 p.m.This is Cincinnati’s last game before its bye week. The Bengals sit atop the AFC North thanks to an easy schedule where their six wins have come against teams now a combined 12-31. They host the Colts in two we ...
|
