Golden Star

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Bills Face Stiff Test from Bears


The Buffalo Bills climbed back up to the .500 mark with a 17-12 home win over the Minnesota Vikings last week. In order to get over that mark this weekend theyll have to do what no other team has been able to this season beat the Chicago Bears.

The Bears ran roughshod over the Seattle Seahawks in the Sunday Night game last week getting two touchdown passes from Rex Grossman and two touchdown runs from Thomas Jones in the 37-6 victory. Chicago easily covered the spread at home versus Seattle and now sit at 3-1 against the spread ATS on the season.

Buffalo is also 3-1 ATS in 2006 thanks to their win over Minnesota last week. Bills quarterback J.P. Losman went 23-of-32 for 222 yards passing versus the Vikings with one touchdown and no interceptions. Willis McGahee ran for a score for Buffalo and Peerless Price had the teams TD catch.

To improve that ATS mark today the Bills need to keep the score close. Oddsmakers at Pinnacle Sports have the unbeaten Bears pegged as large 11.5 point +106 bet $100 to win $106 home favorites for the 1:00pm ET contest versus Buffalo. The Bears are 2-0 ATS at home this season and 3-1 ATS as favorites. The Bills are 2-0 ATS on the road in 2006 and 2-0 ATS as the underdog.

The total for Sundays game is currently sitting at 34 points. The combined score of last weeks Bills/Vikings game fell UNDER the posted total and Buffalo is 1-3 OVER/UNDER on the season. Chicago has a 2-1-1 OU mark in 2006 and the Bears almost single-handedly cashed the OVER against the Seahawks.

The last time Buffalo and Chicago met in September 2002 the Bills came away with a 33-27 home victory as 3-point favorites. The combined score of that contest went OVER the days posted total. The Bears havent beaten the Bills since December 1997 when they came up with a 20-3 home victory as 1-point underdogs. And then there were three

You expect this perfect-record stuff from Indianapolis. It seems Peyton Manning and his Colts gallop out to a 5-0 or 10-0 start every season making headlines each time.

But the Bears? Or the Ravens?

Only three teams that charged unbeaten into Week 4 survived the weekend. Two Super Bowl contenders were humbled last week as the defending NFC champion Seahawks were mauled 37-6 in Chicago while the 3-0 Bengals were pummeled at home by the Patriots.

If you listen closely you can hear early whispers of a Chicago-Indy Super Bowl. And of the three surviving unbeaten teams they look like the best bets to stay that way through Week 5 while the surprising Ravens who finished off the 2-0 Chargers at home have a tough task in Denver.

Widely recognized as the largest online sports book in the world Pinnacle Sports is known for taking action from all players big or small. Whether its $1 or $50000 Pinnacle Sports has earned an industry leading reputation for being the destination of choice for seasoned professionals and sports betting novices alike.

Offering up to 60% better odds on NFL sides than other bookmakers the oddsmakers at Pinnacle Sports list Indianapolis as a whopping 18.5 point +102 favorite at home to winless Tennessee while the Bears moved quickly from -8 to -11.5 +106 favorites at Pinnacle Sports to handle the Bills.

The Ravens meanwhile opened as 3.5-point -101 bet $101 to win $100 underdogs to the 2-1 Broncos who are coming off a bye week. Denver is 5-1 ATS in their past six at home with the extra week of rest.

While teams at the top of NFL food chain are changing its the same old teams providing the steady diet of wins at the bottom.

Tennessee Oakland and Detroit are joined by Tampa Bay as the only winless teams while the 49ers and Cardinals both 1-3 have done little to shed their reputations as perennial losers.

The Cardinals are 0-4 ATS punishing fans and bettors who bought the early hype that this year would be different in the desert. Its looking exactly the same in Arizona except for one significant change: The Matt Leinart Era begins much earlier than most anticipated.

A 1-3 start and abysmal play by starter Kurt Warner has forced a change under center. The Cardinals host Kansas City who clobbered San Francisco 41-0 last week and look to make it two straight. Oddsmakers at Pinnacle Sports opened the Chiefs as 2.5-point favorites in the desert but it moved to -3 -123 after plenty of early money poured in on KC.

In the Meadowlands a fierce division rivalry between the suddenly explosive Redskins and the rested Giants is renewed with New York coming off a bye week where they are 14-5 ATS the last 19 games after a bye. Washington looks to the rejuvenated Mark Brunell to Santana Moss tandem to do more damage after hooking up for three scores in last Sundays win over the Jags.

The Giants are 1-2 but deserve to be 0-3. In fairness theyve played three top teams in Philadelphia Seattle and Indy but they cant afford to lose division games. Realizing this bettors jumped all over the line at -3 pushing it quickly to Giants -4 -109.

In Miami the alleged Super Bowl contending Dolphins join Carolina as the only other teams with 0-4 ATS marks. The Dolphins could be headed for a 1-4 start but they get ten points from Pinnacle Sports oddsmakers who figure if they cant beat Houston they cant beat New England. The Patriots are listed as -10 +103 favorites to cover.

If you subscribe to the Letdown Theory the Patriots may be primed for one after a thorough road win at Cincinnati. You could advance the theory further believing that the Dolphins hit bottom in Houston and will rebound against a division foe.

However Miamis offense has been dreadful with Daunte Culpepper proving to be the next Jay Fielder instead of the second coming of Dan Marino and Ronnie Brown struggling on the ground.

In Jacksonville the Jaguars have covered four straight meetings with the Jets. But are these two teams headed in opposite directions?

New York has won twice outright as a road underdog this season while losing tough games at home to New England and Indy. Can they de-claw the Jaguars and send them to a third consecutive defeat? The Jets opened as touchdown dogs and will have to make the most of their time on offense if Jacksonvilles ball-hogging ways continue. Jags QB Byron Leftwich and the offense have averaged 36 minutes in time-of-possession in two home games an edge the Jets will need to counteract. Pinnacle Sports list the Jaguars as -7 -104 favorites for the tie in Jacksonville.

The contenders are distancing themselves from the pretenders early in 2006.

George Smeader is a documented member of the Professional Handicappers League. Read all of his articles at http://www.procappers.com/George_Smeader.htm




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