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The Tale of Technical Analysis in Forex Trading


Technical analysis may be used as either an alternative to or as a supplement for fundamental analysis. Technical analysis looks at the past performance and history of an investment. It relies on data showing this history and current trends and patterns to make predictions of future market activity. It ignores the intrinsic value of the investment in favor of its statistical abstract.

The Forex market lends itself to technical analysis rather well. The history of the value of currency pairs is a matter of statistical record and can be easily accessed. Its supporters claim it is the only sure way of understanding the market and predicting its future. This is especially true in the Forex market. Fans of technical analysis say that the economies of modern nations are so very complex that they can not be accurately predicated. It is only in the study of the past history of the currency and the trends that are revealed that a possible glimpse of the future be found.

To better understand the difference between fundamental analysis and technical analysis consider this example. If you were interested in determining what flavor of ice cream was the best to buy, the fundamental analyzer would go into the ice cream store and try several different types. He seeks its intrinsic value. The technical analysis man would sit outside the store and take notes on the flavors others are buying to decide which was the most popular and therefore most likely the best. He does not look at the intrinsic value, but relies on the data he gathers from others to make his decision. Of course, in the end, it is going to be his own preference that settles the question, and this is true of the market. Both fundamental analysis and technical analysis are mere tools that help you make the decisions that in the end only you can make.

John Chen is a full-time trader and instructor. He is the creator of the unique trading system Profiable Trend Forex System. Visit his site at http://www.trendforexsystem.com




Other Currency Trading Articles


Forex Time Zones and Currency Relationships

Knowing when to enter the market is crucial to exercising a good technical trading strategy. There are many pitfalls that inexperienced traders experience because they are entering the market when the probability for making a successful trade is reduced. So when is the best time to look for a trade and why?The best time to look for a tr ...

Trading Profitably on the Foreign Exchange Market

You may be asking yourself "how does one begin to trade profitably as a currency trader?".First, it is important to closely monitor foreign equity markets to attempt to predict or model how their respective currencies will perform against other currencies, ideally, currencies that are not very closely related, nor proportional, to the for ...

Learn By Hands On Forex Trading: Demo Accounts Vs Mini Accounts

If you are new to Forex, you are likely overwhelmed by the sheer amount of information you are finding about currency trading. Although the concept of trading the currency markets is simple to understand, the actual trading methodologies and understanding of how, why and when trades are executed can be hard concepts to grasp and fully understand ...

Understanding Futures Trading

The practice of trading commodities is known as futures trading. Experience combined with patience can make such a transaction very lucrative. It involves the trading of tangible items, like silver, gold, oil or even crops. This practice is based on your ability to predict the future price of a commodity. Companies and individuals alike make inv ...

Turning Points

To the best of my knowledge, no one has ever figured out a truly accurate way to figure out future turning points. As far as I know, it has never been done. I don't believe that it will ever be done.I have encountered traders who have told me that so-and-so does it, but I have never seen the proof. Nevertheless, I’m willing to listen. I u ...

Basic Forex Strategies Explained

When it comes to successful Forex trading, there are two basic strategies used by the majority of traders: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.Fundamental AnalysisIn fundamental analysis, Forex traders look for causes that might trigger market fluctuations. These may include political activities, financial ...

Swing Trading Strategy

Swing trading is a popular method of capitalizing on the short-term price variations of the stock market. It has earned a reputation of being a powerful method of maximizing profits at lower risks. The best swing trading strategy involves choosing the right stock and the right market. Swing traders usually choose the stocks that fluctuate at ext ...

Chinese Yen and Inflation Dangers

A surge in a Yen could be problematic at this point and yet they have been playing their currency too long. Other nations have been very upset with the currency manipulation up until now. Are they allowing this increased strength right now prior to the World Bank and G-7 meeting to appease the World and their trading partners or are they doing i ...

Trade Entry Techniques

Most traders tend to concentrate on pinpointing the perfect entry for a trade. However, in reality the entry price is just one part of the equation. The common entry techniques are:Channel BreakoutsA trend trader will tend to use channel breakouts to enter trades in order to catch a trend when it is beginning. The general ...

Getting Started into Forex Trading

Forex, also known simply as the "FX," is the commonly accepted abbreviation for the over-the-counter foreign exchange market. The forex market is the largest financial market on earth. Forex exists on a 24-hour-a-day global network that spans corporate, banking, and individual interests. There is no central trading floor. Currency is traded arou ...

Forex Signals Reviewed

I started in the FOREX market in June of 2002. With hardly any experience at all, I really did not know what I was getting into, other than I wanted to be a full-time trader making tons of money from home. Little did I know from the start that my lifestyle as I knew it was about to change drastically.The ProblemI initially began ...

A Guide To Forex

Forex or the foreign exchange of currencies, as facilitated by forex brokers and banks, has become an integral part of business operations in this new age of globalization. Although the U.S. dollar is still the preferred tender in the world market, U.S. companies, or dollar-earning enterprises, may have to trade their dollars for other currencie ...

Investment Manager Warns about Investing in Uranium Projects

Although the junior mining sector began crumbling in May, savvy investor Mike Halvorson, president of Halcorp Capital, still ended up having a very busy summer. Welcome to the world of a substantial investor in mining stocks, who gets in early and then enjoys sizeable profits as, one by one, his companies become takeover targets. “I’ve been fort ...

Forex Markets - How Do These Work?

There is so much talk about NASDAQ and NYSE, but how many people are aware of another similar market, called Forex Markets? Forex Market has ten times the average daily turnover of many similar global equity markets. Also, foreign exchange markets have thirty the times of the daily volume of NASDAQ and NYSE. Markets are also the most liquid mark ...

Forex Trading 101: Learning Guide for FX Beginners

Being new to FOREX trading? Don’t worry, getting started in FOREX trading is easy and you can always test your skills first in a demo account before you go ‘live’ with real money. To get started in FOREX trading, we have to get to know what FOREX is. For the inexperienced, FOREX trading involves buying and selling the different currencies of the ...

Day Trading Signals

With the help of day trading signals, day traders sell all long positions and cover all short positions at the end of a working, trading day. In day trading, you usually finish the day with cash in hand, to avoid holding any risks. One of the benefits of day trading is that since the positions are closed at the end of the trading day, any sudden ...

Forex Trading Tips

Foreign Exchange Trading better known as FOREX trading is the buying and selling of currencies from different nations. With different factors involved in this trading and its fast paced nature, it is best that you find simple ways to give you a head start in the industry.The main purpose of getting involve in FOREX trading, just like ever ...

Day Trading Tips For Beginners

When primitive people have invented money, all they have in mind is to find some means to solidly show the actual exchange of goods or services between two persons or groups. Since then, any exchanges of goods have been centered on money, bearing the most tangible form of trade.As time pass by, trading has significantly evolved in differe ...

Do I Need To Learn Forex Trading To Make Money?

Once you have decided to enter the Forex market, you must decide how you will go about starting to learn Forex trading. Indeed when you do begin to know more on Forex trading you have three different ways to go about it. You can either join an online, or even one that isn't, Forex school, become an apprentice for a Forex trader or broker or go i ...

Crude Oil & Unleaded Gas – As Predicted Big Gains & More To Come!

These markets have exploded to the upside today as we thought ( see previous articles) and traders who took the stochastic crossover have fantastic gains on the day.Can this market continue its upward momentum? Let’s look at the trade in more detail.Low risk and high reward tradeThis market was trading near support, so it wa ...

Forex Trading – Three Great Reasons to Start Currency Trading

Most people shudder at the thought of Forex Trading because they think that it is very high risk trading because of the great amount of leverage involved. However the money making potential in Forex Trading is huge when compared to other financial instruments worldwide.This article will highlight three great reasons why you should consid ...

Do You Know Which Are The Best Currencies To Trade?

Are certain currencies better to trade than others? The answer is yes and there are several points to consider when choosing the best currencies to trade.Perhaps the most important consideration is the volume and liquidity of the currency traded.The reason this is so important is so that you will be able to exit positions quickly t ...

How Does the Exchange Rate Exactly Works

The exchange market mechanism can be pretty confusing for a person who doesn’t have specialised knowledge in this area. The connection between the exchange rate of a currency and its trade deficit may seem like an undecipherable mystery. In order for you to understand the hidden mechanism of the exchange market and the trade deficit, we’ll discu ...

Assessing the Opportunities Presented by the New Iraqi Currency

Could it be possible that you are staring right into the most spectacular financial opportunity of the century? Operation: Iraqi Freedom will undoubtedly be a war marked in history for loss and tragedy, American victory, and the rise of a nation with a new democratic government. But could it also be a war historically remembered for the financia ...

Passive Income Online From e-Currency Exchange

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Forex Trading Education - What's the ROI?

The traders that tend to do better in the Forex market are those who have undertaken some kind of Forex trading education. Jumping in blindly can be a big mistake in the high-risk world of the Forex market. This is because of decisions in the Forex market is made in real time and is usually made in seconds and Forex education can benefit the beg ...

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E-currency trading has become the hottest known way to make money online today by many successful people. Any smart investor and home business owner knows that money is made by leveraging oneself and that’s just what the e currency exchange program can do.If you are like the rest of the world working the daily grind from Monday to Friday ...

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The Advantages of Technical Analysis for Currency Trading

We have already looked at the difference between fundamental and technical analysis of currency trading in our “currency trading success” article, here we will concentrate more on the advantages of technical analysis for currency trading and how to build a successful system.There are many different methods and tools utilized in technical ...

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Have you seen an offer for stocks and shares trading software that seems to be too good to be true? Chances are you're absolutely right!Like most promotions that promise the easy life, with you sitting back after an hour or so at work in your pyjamas while the dollars come rolling in, it's probably another scam. Share trading scams are m ...

Believing these Six Myths will Slash Your Currency Trading Profits

Below you will find the six common beliefs followed by the bulk of traders - and if you believe these myths as well, then they will restrict your chances of making significant currency trading profits.Ninety percent of currency traders believe at least one or more of these myths - which explains why ninety percent of traders don’t make mu ...

Is The U.S. Dollar About To Reverse Course?

For the first time in several years the U.S. dollar has managed to gain value against the world’s other major currencies. During the first three months of 2005, the U.S. dollar is up approximately five percent against both the yen and the euro. The gains for the dollar should be considered significant when considering the United States still fac ...

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