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Introduction To Fundamental Analysis: Forex


FOREX traders almost always rely on analysis to make plan their trading strategies. There are two basic types of FOREX analysis – technical and fundamental. This article will look at fundamental analysis and how it used in FOREX trading.

Fundamental analysis refers to political and economic conditions that may affect currency prices. FOREX traders using fundamental analysis rely on news reports to gather information about unemployment rates, economic policies, inflation, and growth rates.

Fundamental analysis is often used to get an overview of currency movements and to provide a broad picture of economic conditions affecting a specific currency. Most traders rely on technical analysis for plotting entry and exit points into the market and supplement their findings with fundamental analysis.

Currency prices on the FOREX are affected by the forces of supply and demand, which in turn are affected by economic conditions. The two most important economic factors affecting supply and demand are interest rates and the strength of the economy. The strength of the economy is affected by the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), foreign investment and trade balance.

Indicators

Various indicators are released by government and academic sources. They are reliable measures of economic health and are followed by all sectors of the investment market. Indicators are usually released on a monthly basis but some are released weekly.

Two of the most important fundamental indicators are interest rates and international trade. Other indicators include the Consumer Price Index (CPI), Durable Goods Orders, Producer Price Index (PPI), Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI), and retail sales.

Interest Rates - can have either a strengthening or weakening effect on a particular currency. On the one hand, high interest rates attract foreign investment which will strengthen the local currency. On the other hand, stock market investors often react to interest rate increases by selling off their holdings in the belief that higher borrowing costs will adversely affect many companies. Stock investors may sell off their holdings causing a downturn in the stock market and the national economy.

Determining which of these two effects will predominate depends on many complex factors, but there is usually a consensus amongst economic observers of how particular interest rate changes will affect the economy and the price of a currency.

International Trade – Trade balance which shows a deficit (more imports than exports) is usually an unfavourable indicator. Deficit trade balances means that money is flowing out of the country to purchase foreign-made goods and this may have a devaluing effect on the currency. Usually, however, market expectations dictate whether a deficit trade balance is unfavourable or not. If a county habitually operates with a deficit trade balance this has already been factored into the price of its currency. Trade deficits will only affect currency prices when they are more than market expectations.

Other indicators include the CPI – a measurement of the cost of living, and the PPI – a measurement of the cost of producing goods. The GDP measures the value of all goods and services within a country, while the M2 Money Supply measures the total amount of all currency.

There are 28 major indicators used in the United States. Indicators have strong effects on financial markets so FOREX traders should be aware of them when preparing strategies. Up-to-date information is available on many websites and many FOREX brokers supply this information as part of their trading service.

About The Author
John Sanderson This article provided courtesy of http://www.about-forex.net




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"What a system! Very well researched method with sensible principles!"
T. May, East Lothian-UK



"After purchasing many systems that you see online I knew that there would have to be one out there that actually worked. Needless to say I finally found this system that produces winner after winner and if you are a normal punter like myself and you want to start getting your money back of the bookie then I highly recommend that you purchase this horse racing system. You won't be disappointed"
Brian Lawless - Ireland



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T. Charlton, Nantwich - UK



"I bought your system about a month and a half ago from you and this message is just to say thank you for a great system. Like anything in life the system as it's up's and down's but never losses it's 60%+ strike rate. I have bought a lot of so called 80%+ strike rate systems before but yours is the only system that works for me."
Steven Trindall, Doncaster - UK



"Briliant horse racing system that makes me foresee the race. Couldn't wait to put real money"
S. Reid, Nottingham - UK



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B. More, Worcester - UK



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R. Mattingley, Wokingham - UK



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T. OBrien, Warminster-UK



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D. Gentle, Peterborough - UK



"Always busy at my main job and didn't like to bet again but I was so lucky decided to buy this superb horse racing system. Nothing can deny the profitability of it. Money just keeps coming into my Betfair account. I'm asking my 9th years old son to do it for me! Such a simple and efficient method"
M. Williams, Arbroath - UK



"I used to subscribe to a £300 monthly tipping service, now I got my own picks with even better ROI at bargaining price. Hope this horse racing system goes well! Good luck"
S. Lewis, Sheffield-UK



"I only recently purchased and started using the Golden Star System, I have to say the profits and service have been first class, emails are answered promptly and I couldn't ask for more!"
Michael White, Ipswich - UK



"I'd let you know that either I've been incredibly lucky or your system is far too good to be on the market! I can't keep sneaking off to my computer every day. Sorry to be cheeky, but I'm on a roll now, my bank has doubled now and I have every confidence to double my stake WOW! Your system is a genuine one based on sound thinking and it works, anyone who can't make money from it just shouldn't be gambling!"
Steven Trindall, Doncaster - UK



"Having purchased this horse racing system and contacted the the system provider on a few occasions to confirm I have the correct selection I have found him very helpful and sincere and I am sure I am now on my way to a TAX free 2nd income ..."
J. Ritchie, Edinburgh - UK



"I just wanted to let you know that I have been using your system for a couple of months now and the results have been exactly as you predicted. I would also like to thank you for your excellent service since I purchased the system. You have answered all of my queries promptly and with patience. Please let me know if you ever create another system as I will want to be first in the queue"
Mark Johnson, Markfield - UK



"Excellent betting system! If I were you, I would sell this at much higher price. Good luck with your business"
M. Cornick, Martins Heron - UK