Using Statistics to Win at Football Betting
Using statistics available from the website site listed below you can download all the results day-by-day from virtually any football league in the world. Then you can study the statistical analysis on the results for each league that you are interested in for the whole of the current season to give, for example:- % of matches under and over 2.5 goals % of matches with each number of goals from 0-7 % of matches with the ten most frequently observed scores, in descending order This information on its own can be very useful, earlier this season I noticed that there were practically no games in the French League 1 with more than 2.5 goals, so I was making money backing the unders on Betfair at about 1.8 on each game. Eventually, everyone on Betfair noticed the goal famine in France, and by Xmas the unders price had collapsed to about 1.5-1.6 for most games, not only that; more games were going over 2.5 goals. I made a lot of money out of it from Sep-Dec, but gave up after the pro's moved in, and the value had gone. The system in this section is based on another feature of Intellitipster - its forecasting. You can select forthcoming games (in any league), and a % likelihood of each result is given. For example, I am looking at it today and for this upcoming Man Utd v Arsenal game the prediction is Man Utd 60%, Draw 19%, Arsenal 21 % These %ages can readily be converted into predicted decimal odds using the formula :- Odds = 100/%age, So for this game the predicted odds are Man Utd 100/60 = 1.66, Draw 100/19 = 5.26, Arsenal 100/21 = 4.76. The current odds on Betfair are Man Utd 2.2, Draw 3.3, Arsenal 3.95 Most of you will have guessed where this is heading by now !! The system will comprise 2 filters, firstly a result with a > 50% chance as calculated by Intellitipster, and secondly the price on Betfair must be more than 20% greater than the predicted price. So, in this example Man Utd are the pick (>50%), and the actual price is 2.2/1.66 = 1.32 times or 32% more than the predicted price. This is a great example of value betting, you are backing something with a greater than 50% chance of winning at price more than 20% greater than the probability. In the example above, in old money you're getting 6/5 about a 4/6 shot. If you had one of these every day then soon you would be a millionaire. I cannot think of any other example of where the predicted and actual odds can be compared in this way with such mathematical precision. Go to Football Betting System for full details. This article can be freely published on a website as long as it is not modified in any way, and the hyperlink must be made active |
Other Football Betting Articles
10 Tips for a Successful Poker All-in Strategy All-in is a betting strategy used in today's most popular poker game, No limit Texas Holdem. When you declare that you're going "All-in", you are putting all your chips into the pot on that hand. This could be a do or die move by you, depending on whether you have more or less chips than an opponent who calls your bet. If you have less starting ...The Roulette Wheel Roulette is one of the most popular casino games today. According to most historians, roulette was developed in the 17th century by a French mathematician. The game has a traditional charm and elegance; we are accustomed to seeing high-rolling gamblers dressed in tuxedos spinning the night away. The roulette wheel is an interesting device and k ...How Safe is Online Poker? Online poker is no different from the ones played at the casino. The only difference of course is that people play online via the computer.Is this game safe compared to the regular game played in the casino? The answer to this question is, it depends.Not all of these online casinos play fair. Some of these are scams that are to lau ...Casino Gambling in Moderation Going to the casino is something that can’t be done everyday. People have jobs and other obligations in life. When there is a chance to do so, the player should make the most of it without going too far.Winning is not that easy when the player is already on the table. This is truly something that doesn’t happen like in the movies where an ...Inside the Boxscores - Week 10 - Part Inside the Boxscores is a weekly feature from Matt Fargo that has been widely recognized as the best summation in college football over the past four years. He takes an in-depth look at each game and pulls out the most pertinent information that will help you handicap games in the future. College football is filled with quirky plays, misleading ...Why Should Anyone Use Poker Chips? Poker has been around for a long time. Lately, this does not happen only in the casinos but also in television as well. To those who want to play for fun, getting something similar to the real thing will help and that includes the poker chips.People will agree that this is better than using peanuts or toothpicks when playing the game. Chi ...Internet Sports Betting The popularity of internet sports betting continues to rise as more and more people enjoy being able to place their bets quickly and easily. However, not all internet sports betting sites are the same and you want to find the right one for you. First you should always do your betting on a site that can guarantee that your account is 100% secure ...NFL 2006 Prediction The NFL season is always full of surprises. Partway into the season there is always at least one team that surprises and one that disappoints. This off- season had some key moves. Edgerrin James left Indianapolis for the Arizona Cardinals. Adam Vinatieri left the Patriots for the Colts. Many other players moved around. The 2006 draft had some po ...Football Betting Betting on football is today one of the major activities for football enthusiasts. Football betting has become an easy way to earn some money, have fun and enjoy games with a different touch. Easily, football betting could become an every game activity for most of the football fans.Football betting is definitely not for everyone. You need ...#51 Kansas Jayhawks Preview Spring practices are in the books and fall camps will be here before you know it so that means getting an early jump on the 2006 NCAA football season. Knowing the teams now will save you time in August and Matt Fargo is here to help you get a grasp of what to expect this upcoming year. We go from worst to first in this 2006 College Football Prev ...Online Poker Affiliate Programs The online poker industry has been one of the largest benefactors of the online poker affiliate programs. Like many companies in the online industry, poker sites have utilized the online poker affiliate programs to maximize their reach and to optimize their clientele, offering the opportunity to earn more money in a variety of ways. In fact thro ...Morrison and Redick "Duke" It Out for Naismith Trophy With less than a month to go before March Madness, there are still many questions to be answered regarding almost every aspect of this year's college basketball season. One question where the answer appears to be a little bit more clear pertains to the two most prestigious "Player of the Year" awards, the Naismith Trophy and the Wooden Award, wh ...Poker A Novice's Guide - 5 Card Draw The Basis Of Poker Games You wont find 5 card draw poker in the casino or online much as newer hybrid varieties are more popular.However 5 card draw is the basis of all the new games (including the poker found on video slots) So lets learn it here and you the basics covered, before you look at all the variations.Poker is actually a very simple game to pl ...Cincinnati Reds Handicapping: 2006 Season Preview If you followed my free baseball picks, you would have noticed that the Cincinnati Reds were my handicapping cryptonite. It seemed that whenever I picked them to win, they would lose. I was 8-14 (-6 units) betting on them in 2005.The Reds typified the kind of a team an astute handicapper would want to bet on given the right situation. 1) ...Germany World Cup 2006 Germany is getting ready to host one of the biggest sporting events of the decade, the football World Cup.The hosts Germany offers the best Europe has to offer, enchanting landscape, romantic castles, world-renowned spas, quaint villages, cities buzzing with action and yes, the Germans are interesting folk too. But just in case its nat ...Popularity of Online Gambling Online gambling has become very popular over the last few years. Since many people cannot afford to travel to states where betting is allowed, people have joined internet betting sites. It is an easy alternative to phone betting and gambling in person. Joining a gambling site is a good way to meet other people who have similar interests. There a ...Championship Betting Review - 26 February 2006 Reading ended Preston North End’s 22-match unbeaten run at the Madjeski Stadium. Steve Sidwell opened the scoring for the 7/10 Royals after six minutes but Calum Davidson equalised almost immediately. Leory Lita netted the winning goal for Stev Coppell’s side on the stroke of half time.Sheffield United lost ground on Reading after losing ...2006 World Series of Poker - Event #20 HORSE H.O.R.S.E. which was Event #20 at this years World Series of Poker will be the one to watch in future WSOP tournaments as it pits the best in the game of poker against each other in a contest of skill, mental and physical endurance. 143 players almost entirely composed of the biggest stars in the game of poker entered this event. And with a $50, ...Want to Give Elizabeth Taylor a Piece of Your Gambling Action Who wouldn't want to play slots with Elizabeth Taylor, Bob Denver, Drew Carey and other celebrities?Celebrity-oriented slot machines are a popular trend. The machines even talk to you in the voices of the celebrities. Drew Carey will insult you so you love it.Cool, huh?Not so fast. These celebrities are public figures but th ...Go Against Betting Trends - Mentally Burned Out Teams During a long 162 game season, many teams will mentally take a day off even though they have a game scheduled. When a team plays a division rival, they expend a lot more effort and energy into the game that they normally would not.The type of games that require the least effort and energy are Interleague games. If we pit two teams toget ...Gambling Treatment And Recovery Programs for Compulsive Gamblers Gambling treatment and recovery programs are now a click away. With the ever expanding internet you can almost find anything you are looking for through the search engines.There are a number of websites that have popped up over the past few years that deal directly with gambling addiction. These site have created various programs that m ...What Is Luck and What Is Skill in Poker? There seems to be quite a bit of confusion on what role luck and skill plays in poker. What is most important, luck or skill? This article will debate the subject by beginning to look at different peoples perspective. It will then enter into why the question is not as easy to answer as it may seem at first, moving on to the sensible answer and w ...Women Gambling 101 There is a fundamental difference in the outlook of men and women about gambling. Surprised!! Well it is true. Gambling is an activity a woman can enjoy the most once she is financially and personally independent and this comes as news to both the sexes i.e. both men and women are amazed by this fact. The difference in opinion results from the d ...Understanding the MLB Betting Line Baseball betting is a little different than betting on basketball or football. Instead of a spread, it uses a money line mainly. This makes for an interesting adventure. Baseball bettors don't need to figure out how much better one team will be over another. They simply have to pick the outright winner and decide if the money is worth it. ...Benefits of Online Football Betting Many of the typical problems of football betting are done away with when you bet online. Such as busy phone lines, problems collecting money or late collection, or having to travel somewhere to place your bet or collect your money. In addition to these benefits, you also get to enjoy a signup bonus when you sign with a sportsbook website. Some f ...An Introduction To Free Online Bingo Free online bingo games are a good way to pass some time. These sites do not require any kind of monetary deposit, and anyone is able to join. The site is divided into a number of halls, taking on some kind of character – the signs of the zodiac or types of flowers etc. Once you have registered yourself at the site, you can enter any one of thes ...Walker's Word - Premier League Betting Preview 7 May 2006 Home wins will dominate this weekend’s results, Tottenham will pip Arsenal to fourth spot and Bolton will play in the Intertoto Cup this summer at the expense of Newcastle writes David Walker.Arsenal vs Wigan Athletic Following Thursday’s 3-1 win at Manchester City, Arsenal need to win this match if they have any hope of pipping Totte ...Playing Poker Online - How to Have Fun Without Being Scammed Playing poker online can be a scary experience for some people. There are a lot of scams that are being conducted everyday on the internet and you do not want to be involved in one. The best way to ensure that you won't be taken in by a scammer is to research where you will be playing poker online. This is a great first step in your research p ...Betting Options For Football It is in one’s best interest to know all your options before making a bet. The straight bet is more of a long haul type of bet. You are not going to rack up the big dough right away but over time, it will add up. The parlay bet is more of hope for bigger payouts quicker. These are more of a weekly bet. The teaser bet can be used in several w ...Best Online Poker Rooms There are so many online poker rooms to choose form, that making a selection of where to play can be a pretty daunting task. Playing online poker can be entertaining and very profitable, but to get the most out of your online poker experience, you need to choose a site that’s right for you.If you’re a beginner, play for free, or sit in on ...Online Football Betting Secrets: Knowing When NOT To Bet Sports Betting on the NFL and college football is a national pastime. Every week millions of dollars are bet on the home town favorites with local bookies. People bet even more money with online sports book agencies. Even the major news services publish all the betting stats.If you're going to bet money on games, you might as well be as i ...Playing To Win At Gambling There are always risks when gambling online or at a casino. Most people lose. But sometimes people win. And they can win big. How do they do it? Sometimes it’s luck. The right number was picked or the cards added up to twenty-one. But sometimes, it’s more than luck. Winning is about following a few teams and picking the one that seems to be doin ...Your Online Gambling Environment Ready to start gambling online? The difference between gambling online and gambling in a casino is like the difference between night and day. Casinos are designed to distract you from everything except gambling. Drinks are served regularly, people add to the crowd, and the smell and touch of money gets everyone excited. As casino owners know, th ...What In The World Does Arbitrage Sports Betting Mean? If you’re like me when you first saw the term “arbitrage sports betting” you just said, “huh?” You may even be reading this article because you were wondering. It is a relatively little method that can actually allow you to make money no matter who wins or loses. Kind of like heads I win, tails I win!If you are a novice gambler you probab ...
|
