BGS 2006 NFL Power Ratings: Sept 4/2006
Before getting to the 2006 BGS Pre-Season NFL Football Ratings, there are a few notes you should take into considertaion. As a rule, effective Power Ratings have no place for opinions or subjectivity of any kind. Additionally, many publishers of these ratings release Power Ratings 'tweaked' with their own subjectivity which not only deflates the value of the ratings, but in fact defeats the purpose of the ratings. Put simply, effective power ratings are an unbiased mathematical evaluation of teams based on the actual performances of those teams in action. They are the STARTING POINT of a handicap and not the end result. The handicapper who is using the ratings must be free to interpret them without bias from the publisher of the ratings. Injecting the subjectivity of an individual into unbiased ratings efectively renders them useless. That said, it is practically impossible to produce meaningful power ratings before all particpants of a group have played AT LEAST 2 games, but we still need a starting point to both set odds and handicap games, leaving us no choice but to accept a certain degree of subjectivity into pre-season and early season ratings. We can then dissolve this subjectivity after all teams have played twice and let the results speak for themselves. In my 10 years creating the BGS (Brian Gabrielle Sports) Power Ratings, the formula I use for pre-season ratings is a combination of last season's performance combined with public betting patterns on football futures. So take these PRESEASON RATINGS with those grains of salt. Using the BGS Power Ratings Add 3 points to the home teams rating, then subtract the biggest number from the smallest number. The negative integer remaining becomes the pointspread for the team with the highest rating. Example: Jets (83.5) @ Titans (83.5) , Sep 10/2006 Titans 83.5 + 3 = 86.5
(Jets) 83.5 - 86.5 (Titans) = -3
Titans should be a -3 point favorite BGS NFL Football Ratings
As of August 29/2006 Rank Team Rating Rank Team Rating
1 Pats 96
2 Colts 96
3 Steelers 95.5
4 Panthers 94
5 Cowboys 93.5
6 Seahawks 93
7 Bengals 93
8 Giants 93
9 Chiefs 93
10 Eagles 92
11 Broncos 91.5
12 Bucs 91
13 Redskins 89.5
14 Falcons 89.5
15 Dolphins 89.5
16 Rams 88.5
17 Cardinals 88.5
18 Bears 88
19 Jags 86.5
20 Saints 86
21 Texans 86
22 Raiders 86
23 Lions 86
24 Packers 85
25 Chargers 85
26 Ravens 85
27 Browns 85
28 Jets 83.5
29 Titans 83.5
30 Bills 83
31 Vikings 82.5
32 49ers 81
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