Golden Rules of Horse Racing Betting
Forget old wives' tales, home-spun wisdom and the advice of cabbies, says Tony Paley. If you really want to know how to punt on horses, you should engrave these 37 Commandments on tablets of stone and carry them with you wherever you go. Not literally, of course - that would be impractical. Rules. Mavericks and misfits might not like to admit it, but it's especially true in gambling that some solid guidelines are a major help in formulating a strategy to beat the bookies. There's no short cut to making money backing horses. The bookmakers work full-time at getting money from punters, so backers shouldn't expect to have to do anything different. Victor Chandler, for instance, not only has a form expert but a speed ratings buff, a breeding analyst and a man whose job it is to collate inside information. Punters need to take their betting just as seriously, but if they take the following 37 Commandments on board, they will give themselves a much better chance of getting in front and staying there. RULE 1
The first question to ask when you want a bet is: 'How will this race be run?' And the second: 'Will it suit the horse I am interested in backing?' RULE 2
Watch as many horse races as possible. Even if the over-excitable Mark Johnson or the almost terminally bored Graham Goode is commentating. RULE 3
Look at every horse in the race, not just the one you've backed. RULE 4
Concentrate virtually without exception on the better class of animals in the higher-grade races. RULE 5
Cram as much form study in as time will allow. RULE 6
When you find a horse 'coming to the boil' and running into form, back on a winnable rating, stick with it. It will almost certainly pay its way in time. RULE 7
The going and the draw are the two most important variables in determining the outcome of any horse race. RULE 8
If there are doubts about the going, draw bias, the price or any other highly important variable, wait till the very last minute until having a bet. RULE 9
Keep your pockets sewn up when the ground is officially heavy. RULE 10
The influence of weight is vastly overrated. In the majority of cases, horses will not reverse the form, no matter how favourably off they are in terms of the weights. RULE 11
Only forgive a horse an 'unlucky-in-running' run once. The vast majority who repeat the offence will repeatedly find trouble. RULE 12
Follow horses that travel well in races and/or have demonstrated a turn of foot in a truly run race. RULE 13
The Ei Ei Memorial Rule. Favour horses with a willingness to win. RULE 14
Never ever back a horse in a major handicap first time out, unless it is trained by Sir Mark Prescott. RULE 15
Look, look and look again at the stats history of the big races, but use them intelligently. Buffoons on television telling us that no horse above draw 9 can win the Magnet Cup should remember that this is only true when the ground isn't on the soft side of good. That's a fact. RULE 16
Be wary of each-way betting. In the long run, you're almost certainly going to win more having all-win bets of £50 than £25 each-way. And, anyway, if you're dithering about dabbling each-way because you're unsure if your horse will win, why are you having a bet? RULE 17
It's the Cheltenham Festival, Royal Ascot, the Derby, the Grand National. You don't have to bet. RULE 18
Concentrate at specialist courses like Brighton or Goodwood on horses that have demonstrated an ability to perform at those tracks, or have so much in hand their relative inability to do so won't matter. RULE 19
Study courses until you can study them no longer. Take on board the fact that Ascot's short straight requires different qualities in a horse than York or Newbury's galloping terrains. RULE 20
Seven furlongs is a specialist distance. End of story. RULE 21
In sprints, concentrate solely on horses in form. RULE 22
Cut out and keep the entries for big races. They are stuffed with clues about what trainers expect and, even more crucially, know about the horses in their charge. RULE 23
Similarly, read and keep all the stable interviews with trainers. They will often give information about going and distance preferences for their horses. RULE 24
Don't pay over the odds for tips. There is enough quality information around for the cost of a newspaper. Graham Wheldon's Sprintline column (Racing & Football Outlook), Andrew Barr's Mark Your Card feature (Racing Post Weekender), The Guardian's inside info Horse Sense column on Saturdays and Malcolm Heyhoe's internet tipping service (gg.com) are all highly recommended. RULE 25
The number of race meetings is set to continue growing at an alarming rate. Have an area you can specialise in, whether it be Group races, sprints or middle-distance handicaps. RULE 26
Think like a bookmaker. Compile your own betting forecast, but above all, be honest with yourself. Ask yourself if you would really offer those odds if you were a layer. RULE 27
The following books are a must for any serious punter's library: Nick Mordin, Betting For A Living; Alan Potts, Against The Crowd; Mark Coton, Value Betting. The best volume to start with is the Racing Post's Definitive Guide To Betting On Horses. RULE 28
Open up accounts with as many bookmakers as you can, in order to take advantage of the best prices available. RULE 29
Get access to the net and use the free Racing Post form at racingpost.co.uk. The races are laid out in a line-byline format, which is much easier to use and far more useful than the form in the newspaper version. RULE 30
Subscribe to a form book. The official Raceform version, Timeform's Perspectives and Superform are all more than adequate. Stick with the one that suits you. RULE 31
Put a bank together that you're comfortable with, and have a staking plan sorted out that suits your particular style of betting. RULE 32
If you're at the track, don't go for a drink before the race, watch the horses going down to the start. You'll learn an awful lot about what sort of horses are suited to different types of ground and what plus and minus points to look for in a horse just prior to running. RULE 33
Don't believe all the recent press about ignoring the effect of the draw. Stalls positions are often crucial to the outcome of a race, especially in the big handicaps. This is even true of the long-distance races like the Tote Ebor at York, the Cesarewitch at Newmarket and the Ascot Stakes at Royal Ascot. You'll find Graham Wheldon's detailed analysis of draw biases in the Racing Post Definitive Guide book (see the 27th Commandment) or at the front of the official Form Book. RULE 34
Big-name jockeys invariably win big races. Be wary of backing runners in the major races with lesser-known or inexperienced riders on board. RULE 35
Have your biggest bets in a period, normally between June and September, when the ground remains fairly constant. RULE 36
Never underestimate the psychology and emotion involved in gambling. If your mood swings are extreme, you'll find it difficult to survive the inevitable losing runs. RULE 37
Go to the paddock. Learn the different types of physique and the good and bad signs displayed by horses before the race. Nick Mordin's book The Winning Look covers all the bases. Find more articles here www.inside-edge-mag.co.uk Inside Edge Magazine
Submitted By Q
Other Horse Racing Tips Articles
Kentucky Real Estate - The Bluegrass State From lush bluegrass to the music of the same name, Kentucky is undeniably the bluegrass state. Fortunately, Kentucky real estate prices won’t leave you blue.KentuckyWhen it comes to assumptions, leave yours at the door when considering Kentucky. This state is a hidden gem. From the Appalachian Mountains to the rolling hills covered ...The Majestic Arabian Horse Bedouins believed that the horse was a gift from Allah. It was to be cherished, revered, almost worshipped. The Arabian horse has been bred for centuries, with its beginnings in the oases around the Tigris and Euphrates Rivers in the countries known in our modern history as Iran, Iraq, and Syria, as well as other parts of the Arabian Peninsula ...Choosing Birthday and Christmas Gifts for Horse Lovers One of the best ways to choose a gift that will please a recipient, is to consider their greatest interests and loves. Whether it is for Christmas or a birthday, a hobby or interest related gift is likely to be particularly well received, especially if you choose with care, and do your homework. Often, though, the person you are buying for will ...Animals, Fitness and Us “Do you ever hear of animals gratifying their desire or need for artificial exercising at a gymnasium?” asks Joseph H. Pilates, developer of the Pilates Method, in his book “Your Health”.When I first read this I imagined my dog Wendy saying, “Of course not! How boring! Why would anyone want to spend hours on a treadmill or lifting weight ...Investor Profile: Warren Buffet's Early Years Warren Buffett was the only son of the Howard Buffett and Lelia Stahl. Leila worked as both a clerk and secretary and after her marriage has a homemaker and mother. Howard worked as an investment broker and spent four terms in Congress as a U.S. representative. He was elected to “Congress in 1942 with a pledge to keep FDR from "fasten[ing] th ...An Education In Pinhooking I get this email last September from our off-track trainer wanting to know if I would be interested in going in partners with her. The idea is to buy a Thoroughbred yearling at the Barretts Preferred Yearling sale coming up next month then sell it at their May, Two-Year-Olds In Training sale. She would provide the training up to the sale and I w ...Horse Racing Betting, The Risk Free Way You may or may not of heard of all this talk about been a change to horse racing betting where you can bet on horse races risk free.Yes that’s right, Risk Free!Now this isn’t some bogus system that gives you one horse that is guaranteed to win, it isn’t even like normal gambling. It’s more like trading as you are betting on more th ...Political Correctness and College Sports - Has The NCAA Gone Too Far? The NCAA in it's wisdom has determined that teams that use native The NCAA has gone so far as to say that these teams cannot play in the post season tournaments unless they change their names.While I am sure there is a group of people both Native Americans and others who seem to think these names are offensive shouldn't we look at the big ...The Triple Crown - Horse Racing's Ultimate Challenge The Triple Crown, like so many of our best traditions, wasn’t created, it grew into being. During the late 1800’s three different tracks created races to test the new crop of three year olds. These three races, the Belmont Stakes, the Preakness and the Kentucky Derby were held in the same year for the first time in 1875. It wasn’t until 44 ye ...Horse Betting Tips Most apprentices are capable of breaking a horse fast, which is great in sprint races, and the majority of their wins are usually accomplished under such circumstances. However, in route races (distance of longer than 1-1/8 miles) they usually do not perform as well. This is not necessarily because they are lacking in basic ability but because t ...The American Quarter Horse It is thought, by some, that the foundation American Quarter Horse stock has at its roots Arabian, Turk, and Barb breeds. Others believe that the breed began with the acquisition of Chickasaw horses which were likely of Spanish extraction. Their history seems to begin around 1690, when horses exported from England were bred with native horses ...Quick Gambling Tips Today, I thought I would share some quick gambling tips with you. These tips can be used with any gambling game(s) you enjoy. Many people are losing gamblers, because they simply play a game without any thought and hope luck comes along. Luck is what you make of it. By following some simple tips, you can get more out of your gambling experie ...Horse Tack Horse tack refers to the accessories worn by domesticated horses. Tacking a horse is the act of fitting a horse with a wide range of equipment before the horse is taken for a ride. Tacking up a horse requires expertise, since any discomfort for the horse causes a lot of strain for both the horse and the rider. The tack also has to be of the exac ...2006-07 NFL Fantasy Quarterback Ratings The NY Sports Headquarters will be offering a full-week feature of Fantasy Football rankings. We will be going over the top quarterbacks, running-backs, wide receivers, tight ends, kickers, and defenses, featuring a different section on each day of the week. We will also be including our “sleeper”, “busts” , “break-out”, and our “best overall ...The Dish: 'Sheed Defends Predictions Detroit Piston power forward Rasheed Wallace, fresh off his team's 74-72 loss in Cleveland Monday night, defended his record of prognostication. Despite the fact that 'Sheed ruffled a few feathers by guaranteeing a Detroit win in Game 4---a prediction that fell flat, as did Wallace, who sprained his ankle in the second quarter and was ineffectiv ...What You Need To Know About Running Running today is an energetic form of exercise and a very popular sport. Many run because they enjoy it or as part of a fitness plan. It’s come a long way from being the fastest way of getting from Point A to Point B on foot. From a means of transport, to a means to good health or fame and glory!How many kinds of running are there? Jogg ...Custom Motorcycle Helmets Helmets which are fashioned and made according to our own specifications are known as custom motorcycle helmets. Although different types and kinds of motorcycle helmets are available on the market, sometimes we do need something different to suit our own wants. Hence, different companies exist which offer custom motorcycle helmets exactly the w ...Gambler Loses Twice - Thanks To Tax Court Jimmie Clemons, retired, received a Form W-2G reporting $44,800.00 in winnings from a casino. As his gambling losses for the year were more than $44,800.00, he did not report any winnings or losses on his 1040.The Tax Court, in Jimmie L Clemons T.C. Summary Opinion 2005-109, upheld the IRS position that gross gambling winnings must be re ...Mini Moto Engine Industrial engines. They are still used by several manufacturers (most notably Blata on their entry level bike) and typically produce between 2.5 and 3.5 horse power (hp). All are air-cooled. Tuning and performance parts are very limited.The Chinese 47/49cc. These engines are used in the Chinese made mk2, and mk3 minimotos. They are air c ...THE HORSES OF ERATH COUNTY: This Texas County Ain't Horsin' Around When Texas seceded from the Union at the beginning of the Civil War, the new Confederate government now faced the task of participating in the war while still defending the Texas frontier from Indian attacks.The Confederates actually tried several methods for maintaining order on the frontier. Their final attempt to deal with the Indian m ...Sports Betting Truths The first ever recorded sports bets, took place on 10 September 1858, by two spectators watching a game between the Brooklyn Eckfords and the New York Mutuals, placed a 100$ bet as to whether or not John Holden would hit a home run. Holden himself was assured 25$ if he hit, he did and after the game all the debts were settled.In 1865 agai ...Understanding Your Faith Understanding your faith in God and His promises is extremely important for your salvation and continuation in this life. Before we start I want to ask you some questions.1. Do you believe in the Promises of God?2. Do you use what God says that you have?3. Do you pray expecting to receive?4. Do you pray believing that ...New Zealand Adventure Activities New Zealand's landscape and temperate climate lends itself to outdoor activity. The country is renowned for its wide range of adventure pastimes, with the best known being bungy jumping, jetboating, rafting, snowboarding and skiing. Adventure means different things to different people and the best aspect of the New Zealand adventure scene is tha ...
|
