Football Betting Secrets: Making Money From The Weather
Sports Betting on the NFL and college football is a national pastime. Every week millions of dollars are bet on the home town favorites with local bookies. People bet even more money with online sports book agencies. Even the major news services publish all the betting stats. If you're going to bet money on games, you might as well be as informed as possible! There are even many sports betting sites that provide up-to-the-minute information on your favorite teams and this weeks games. Football Betting is a way that professional "smart money" gamblers make money. One of the most overlooked ways to make money from football betting is by understanding the teams, and how they will play in different weather conditions. Let's look at an example of my analysis of a game where the teams were expected to play in a driving rainstorm: Oakland at Seattle -7 This game presents a bit of a mystery since Seattle is playing without their #1 QB and without their #1 running back. This means that all the previous stats, etc., are pretty much meaningless in terms of handicapping this game. Generally speaking, I like to stay away from games like this because they are typically what I call "coin flip" games -that is there isn't enough data to determine if the odds are in your favor or not. However... this game may be an exception. Let me explain why. First and foremost, Seattle's defense took them to the Super Bowl last year, but they've stunk out the joint this year. In Seattle's last 5 games, they've given up 35, 31, 28, 37, and 42 points. This may be the most stunning surprise of this season. And who did they give up this many points to? High-powered teams like Indianapolis? Nope. They gave up these points to KC, Minnesota, St. Louis, Chicago, and the Giants. Sure, these teams are decent, but keep in mind Minnesota could barely score against SF, and the other teams have been inconsistent on offesne all season -except when they played Seattle. In their two early wins the defense looked good, but keep in mind those games were against Arizona and Detroit. Oakland on the other hand has played horrible all season on offense. They managed just 98 total yards against Pittsburgh, a team that's been abused defensively all season. Oakland is averaging only 123 yards per game passing, which is really astonishing considering they've been in many games where they needed to play catch-up and still couldn't manage to rack up many yards, even against other team's prevent defense. It's even more astonishing considering that they have Randy Moss to throw to. Moss should at least get some double-coverage which you'd think would free up somebody, somewhere in the secondary. It used to be that classic games pitted the immovable force vs. the unstoppable object. This game is the exact opposite. It's the inept offense vs. the inept defense. Oakland is ranked dead last in the NFL in offense. Seattle is ranked 29th in defense. Who know's what's going to happen? Well, we don't know exactly what's going to happen in the game, but what we do know about is the weather. It's pouring in Seattle today, and they're expecting 2 inches of rain. The wind is at 18 mph, gusting to 23 mph. The field is covered, but it's going to be VERY sloppy tonight and very windy. The rain is expected to get heavier by tonight's 5:30 pm PST start (8:30 EST). Now there are two schools of thought on this. The first is that the sloppy conditions will lead to more turnovers, and make it easier to pass because the receivers know where they're going, but the defenders have to react. Plus, the sloppy conditions are going to lead to possibly more turnovers, etc. But this cuts both ways. The turnovers could easily come when a team is knocking on the door about to score as they could when they're backed up near their own goal line. The other school of thought is that the weather is going to make it next to impossible to move the ball and score. This is why the o/u line is sitting at 36. The o/u line is also sitting at 36 because Seattle QB Senaca Wallace has one of the most pathetic QB ratings possible, a measly 59.0. I say "one of the most pathetic" QB ratings because Oakland's QB Andrew Walter has an ever worse rating at 49.0. This may be lowest combined QB ratings of any game in the NFL. So what's this all mean? First, it means that Seattle has the edge because of Seneca Wallace. Wallace, unlike Walter, is like having an extra back in the backfield. Oakland's defensive line is going to have problems with their footing, and when they do break into the backfield, Wallace is going to be quick to sprint forward out of the pocket and the Raider defenders are going to be helpless to react on the wet turf. Wallace stinks throwing the ball anyway so the wind isn't going to affect him as much as it's going to affect Walter, a more classic drop-back QB. So the bottom line is this. I do NOT recommend even playing this game because there move the ball on the ground, especially with Wallace running the ball out of the pocket. With all this in mind, I look for Seattle are too many unknowns. However, if you really feel like you must take a side on this game I look for Oakland to have trouble scoring, probably scoring in the single digits. I look for Seattle to be able to to win 17-6. What really happened in this game? Seneca Wallace, Seattle's QB, had 49 yards rushing, including a key run of 37 yards. Seattle won 16-0. David James is one of the world's foremost football betting experts. Not only does James have an uncanny knack for knowing who to bet on, but he also is one of the best at providing in depth explanations and statistics showing exactly why each pick meets his criteria. http://www.davidjamessports.com |
Other Online Casino Articles
Texas Holdem Tournament Strategy - Sit and Go Poker Tournaments Welcome to the fourth in my Texas Holdem Strategy Series, focusing on no limit Texas Holdem poker tournament play and associated strategies. In this article, we’ll examine the "Sit and Go" tournament - the most popular online poker tournament format today.When I first started playing in Sit and Go tournaments, I was beginning to think th ...Learn Pai Gow Poker Pai Gow Poker can be intimidating to the rank novice but it is relatively simple to play once you understand the basic rules of the game. This article takes a look at some of those rules and will help your understanding of this variation of poker.Pai Gow can be an extremely slow game at times and may frustrate those used to a fast and fra ...Free Poker Games There are many sites that offer free poker games online and this number is increasing all the time. Online poker is an attractive pastime for many people that can be enjoyed from home. While some sites offer a variety of free poker games for you to play, yet other sites specialize in one certain type of poker. Some of the free poker games that a ..."How To Create A Lifetime Income With Affiliate Programs By Changing Your Focus!" "How To Create A Lifetime Income With Affiliate Programs By Changing Your Focus!"An often overlooked strategy that could maximize your affiliate earningsby Mark Meyers Most people join an affiliate program so that they will make some money by referring people to the products and services of the affiliate company. ...Casinos - Eliminate Your Enemy In order for you to effectively beat the casinos you must view them as your "competition". If you don’t view the casinos as what they are, then how do you expect to beat them?This is why the top players have VIP Hosts at their beck and call. They get phone calls at home offering fantastic incentives to lure the player back to the casino f ...Sports Betting and Customer Service When looking for a sports betting site online, one of the most important things to look at is the level of customer service that a site provides. You never want to do business with a site that does not offer top notch customer support. Even though this may not seem like a big deal, and definitely is. Waiting for an answer to an important questio ...Women at the Casino Online The fairer sex is fast becoming a dominating presence at nearly every casino online, and not merely as some man’s “lucky charm”. Back in 2002, a study revealed that women made up about 60% of all casino online players. The pit boss only knows what the numbers are today (though one study puts it at 53%) but one thing is for certain: long gone are ...Online Poker Tips- How To Become A Successful Online Poker Player This article is all about online poker. I have been enjoying playing poker on the internet for a couple of years now and in this article, I give free tips on how to become a successful online poker player.For me playing poker is not just about attempting to win money, it is also fun. I love the fact that you can interact with other player ...How To Play Online Slot Machines Slot machines are the absolute most popular games played in casinos today. They are so fun and exciting; it is no wonder that they account for over two-thirds of all the casinos profit every year. People like the solitude of playing on their own and slot machines are not difficult to use. Nearly everyone can operate a slot machine and they do no ...Poker Affiliate Program If you own a successful web page, especially one that is gambling or sports oriented, you are missing a great source of revenue if you are not currently pushing online poker affiliate programs.Poker affiliate programs generally pay a minimum of twenty percent and can pay as high as forty percent of your referred players' gross rake for th ...Online Poker Software Online poker is one of the most widely enjoyed activities in the internet community today. Downloading online poker software as always the first step towards play, after signing up for a site. However you should always check the specifics before you download any online poker software. Read the terms of use of the software to protect yourself and ...Poker Psychology - The Secret Of Winning Big Poker psychology is important because it separates average players from truly the great ones.The person, who wins big simpy has a better psychology than his or her opponents and getting it right can make you huge money.In poker (unlike other casino games) you don’t have to have the best hand to win, all you need to do is make peopl ...How To Play Let It Ride Poker I know about Let It Ride Poker from a relative of mine. Actually my cousin seems to be addicted to it and this is why I'm quite worried about him. Despite the fact that he has made quite some money on his Let It Ride, I still have a bad feeling about it. Every gambler should know that luck is only a matter of time. You cannot be lucky all the ti ...Las Vegas "Whales" What Las Vegas jargon names "whales" is in fact the creme of the high rollers species. They are a handful of people that in some opinions don't exceed 500 individuals in the world. Las Vegas hoteliers are nuts about them; some claim four or five of those whales bet much more than the rest of the thousands customers they receive daily. No wonder ...Games People Play - And The Registry Cleaner Registry cleaner is a much sought after software because more and more people are spending time on the Internet. They use the Internet to research and play games on many gaming sites and online casinos. Most of these gaming and casino sites require one to download some program or the other including ActiveX controls that will enable the program ...Why You Should Never Buy an Online Slot Machine System! Playing online slot machines has become increasingly popular, as online casinos have grown in popularity. This growth in online gaming has seen an increase in the number of players looking for an easy way to hit the million jackpots and become one of the few high rollers who succeed in online slots. Many are tempted to buy an online slot system ...Online Casinos - Develop a Strategy to Suit You Online casinos pride themselves in offering people a different kind of thrill. They challenge people through risk taking. This they do by offering a variety of online casino games where people try their chance at winning in a variety of engaging activities. There are many for players to choose from. There are a variety of online slot machines on ...Online Bingo Traditional Bingo originated in Italy, where it was known as “Beano” and was played at country fairs. A caller would draw discs from a cigar box and players would mark their cards with beans as numbers were called out. If they had the requisite row or column, they would yell out “Beano”. The first person to do so was declared the winner.I ...Poker Affiliate Websites Online If you own a website why not earn money while helping to promote the best online poker sites on the web? Poker affiliate websites online are a great way to tell your friends and visitors about online poker sites, while you are rewarded for your efforts in spreading the word about them.Take a look at the potential you can be making by prom ...Casino Gambling - The Choices Casino gambling isn’t just a few poker games with a roulette wheel thrown in for good measure; your casino offers many different games with a variety of stakes. For the frugal among us, the nickel slot machines are a very good bet. You can spend an entire evening gambling with as little as five dollars and still enjoy the thrills of hitting a ja ...Online Poker Rooms And Real Winners Are Sweeping The Nation! What is this phenomenon that has people from all walks of life, getting in on the action? The money of course!Not that long ago, winning millions of dollars for an amateur poker player was unheard of. Now it's possible for anyone to sharpen their poker skills, invest as little as $50 in a real player account, and see himself or herself ta ...Best Poker Room With so many choices of sites to play cards online, you may have a hard time finding the best poker room for you. There are a couple things you should consider before signing up to play cards and trusting people with your hard earned money. With a little careful research, you are sure to find the best poker room.When choosing a po ...Free Poker We’ve all heard the cliché that the best things in life are free, and free poker is no exception to that rule. These online poker sites allow you to play just about any style of poker game, whenever you’re in the mood, with no fees to use their software. You can find some of the best poker games and tournaments anywhere while participating in fr ...Online Bingo Games If you are a Bingo enthusiast but don’t have the time or opportunity to go to the nearest Bingo hall to have a try at daubing cards, then maybe online Bingo is for you. Besides giving you the chance to exercise your speed, skill and number-recognition abilities, online Bingo games also give you the opportunity to meet new people as well.B ...Video Poker Slots – A Novice's Guide To Playing Like a Pro Quickly! Video Poker slots are a fun game, but require skill to play correctly and this is the advantage over other slot games which require no skill at all.You have the potential to maximize your gains by being able to put the odds in your favor, making it a more involving lucrative playing experience.Let's look at the basics of video poke ...Best Multiplayer Poker Have you been playing poker online for a while? Are you tired of just playing the computer and looking for a way to sharpen your skills? It’s time for you to find the best multiplayer poker and start increasing your fun.The best multiplayer poker will allow you to compete with players all over the world, all from the comfort of your own h ...Why a Casino is Fun People love playing at casinos and their popularity is undeniable. Compared to a couple of decades ago, casinos are widespread throughout the United States. Cruise ships, state-licensed casinos, and Native American casinos entertain millions of people every year and make billions of dollars.What could possibly be the attraction of a place ...Baseball Gambling Sports’ betting has always been popular, and has shot up in popularity with the spread of the Internet. It’s now much easier for individuals to find the information that is needed to place an informed bet on the outcome of a game. Those who like baseball gambling know that baseball is one of those sports where more is needed to place a bet then ...
|
