The Tale of Technical Analysis in Forex Trading
Technical analysis may be used as either an alternative to or as a supplement for fundamental analysis. Technical analysis looks at the past performance and history of an investment. It relies on data showing this history and current trends and patterns to make predictions of future market activity. It ignores the intrinsic value of the investment in favor of its statistical abstract. The Forex market lends itself to technical analysis rather well. The history of the value of currency pairs is a matter of statistical record and can be easily accessed. Its supporters claim it is the only sure way of understanding the market and predicting its future. This is especially true in the Forex market. Fans of technical analysis say that the economies of modern nations are so very complex that they can not be accurately predicated. It is only in the study of the past history of the currency and the trends that are revealed that a possible glimpse of the future be found. To better understand the difference between fundamental analysis and technical analysis consider this example. If you were interested in determining what flavor of ice cream was the best to buy, the fundamental analyzer would go into the ice cream store and try several different types. He seeks its intrinsic value. The technical analysis man would sit outside the store and take notes on the flavors others are buying to decide which was the most popular and therefore most likely the best. He does not look at the intrinsic value, but relies on the data he gathers from others to make his decision. Of course, in the end, it is going to be his own preference that settles the question, and this is true of the market. Both fundamental analysis and technical analysis are mere tools that help you make the decisions that in the end only you can make. John Chen is a full-time trader and instructor. He is the creator of the unique trading system Profiable Trend Forex System. Visit his site at http://www.trendforexsystem.com |
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